Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
349 am CDT Wednesday Sep 2 2015
Short term...today through Saturday night
Upper shear axis remains across the region...but not expecting as
much convection as Tuesday afternoon. While the highest probability of precipitation will
be in the southeast...only isolated/scattered activity is
expected. Went a couple of degree warmer for afternoon
highs...with less cloud cover over the region.
Upper ridge will build into the area for the rest of the short
term...with only very isolated storms possible. Afternoon
temperatures will be in the lower to middle 90s.
Long term...Sunday through Tuesday
While a ridge of high pressure will be the dominant feature to
start the period...some changes are coming. A storm system aloft
over the southeast United States will wobble toward Arkansas...and
the ridge will drift to the west and flatten with time. This will
allow a cold front will approach the region from the plains.
Initially...chances for rain will be nonexistent on Sunday. By
Tuesday...isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are in
the forecast...especially over the northwest half of the state.
Temperatures will start off above normal...but will be closer to
normal as the period progresses.
Short term...58 / long term...46