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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
1248 am CDT Thursday Jul 30 2015

Aviation...

A cold front continues to move through central Arkansas. Winds
will become northeast behind the front. Some middle level clouds will
be over the central and south this morning...and patchy fog in the
southwest. Scattered cumulus are expected during the day. Other
than MVFR conditions in the southwest...VFR conditions are
expected.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 559 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 29 2015/

Aviation...
VFR conditions expected through the period.

Previous discussion... /issued 232 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 29 2015/

Short term...tonight through Saturday night...
the upper level ridge of high pressure that has been in place across
the region will retreat to the west somewhat...allowing a northwesterly flow
to develop across the area. At the surface...a quasi stationary
front over southern Missouri will push down across the area tonight
and tomorrow. Although the front will result in slightly lower
daytime highs...the most noticable effect will be lower dewpoints.

Afternoon heat index values will only top 105 degress across a small
part of the southern zones for a few hours tomorrow afternoon.
Considering this...I will let the existing heat advisory expire
this evening and will not reissue at this time.

There could be some showers and thunderstorms associated with the
frontal boundary...but with the dome of high pressure above...I have
opted only for slight chance probability of precipitation in most areas.

Long term...Sunday through Wednesday night...
an upper level ridge over the central and southern rockies at the
start of the period...is expected to build towards the middle south
during this period. Above normal afternoon temperatures will
prevail through most of this period...along with dry conditions.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Batesville Arkansas 91 70 92 69 / 10 0 0 0
Camden Arkansas 97 72 94 70 / 30 10 0 0
Harrison Arkansas 86 68 89 68 / 10 10 0 10
Hot Springs Arkansas 95 72 93 70 / 20 10 0 0
Little Rock Arkansas 93 72 93 72 / 20 0 0 0
Monticello Arkansas 96 72 92 72 / 30 10 0 0
Mount Ida Arkansas 94 71 92 68 / 30 10 10 0
Mountain Home Arkansas 89 69 91 68 / 10 0 0 0
Newport Arkansas 91 70 93 71 / 10 0 0 0
Pine Bluff Arkansas 93 71 92 71 / 20 0 0 0
Russellville Arkansas 93 71 93 69 / 20 10 10 0
Searcy Arkansas 92 69 93 70 / 10 0 0 0
Stuttgart Arkansas 92 70 92 71 / 20 0 0 0
&&

Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none.
&&

$$



Aviation...51

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