Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
650 PM CDT Friday may 24 2013
Aviation...25/00z taf cycle
VFR conds are expected to prevail through the period. Mainly high clouds
will stream eastward across the area tonight from ongoing convection across eastern
Texas. Scattered cumulus will develop Sat afternoon across parts of western Arkansas as low level
moisture return commences. Light east/southeasterly winds tonight will veer to mainly
southeasterly at 5 to 10 kts Sat afternoon. /44/
&&
Previous discussion... /issued 241 PM CDT Friday may 24 2013/
Short term...tonight through Monday night
for a late May Day in Arkansas...you just can/T beat today. Little
in the way of cloud cover...and mainly northeast/easterly flow has
kept temperatures in the 70s in much of the state.
Tonight will be cool...with lows in the 50s in much of the area.
Slow warming will commence in the coming days...as surface high
pressure shifts to the east...and the remnants of a frontal
boundary to the south of the region return north. At the same time...
several weak waves will move through in the mean flow on Saturday
and Sunday...bringing mainly small chances of showers and
thunderstorms.
By Monday...dry conditions will return as upper ridging sets up
over the region. Surface winds will be elevated...due to the
gradient between the surface high centered over the southeast
Continental U.S. And developing low pressure in the plains. Highs will be
well into the 80s areawide.
Long term...Tuesday through Friday
an upper ridge will be pushing east of Arkansas on Tuesday as an
upper trough dives along the West Coast. In between
systems...southwest flow aloft will be over Arkansas Wednesday and
Thursday. An upper low develops over the northern plains Thursday
and slides into Canada Friday.
Surface high pressure will be over the area through much of the
period. Tuesday and Wednesday will be dry but chances of showers and
thunderstorms will increase Thursday through Friday as a cold front
slowly moves toward the state from the west...and moisture and
instability increases. Near to slightly above normal temperatures are
expected through the long term period.
&&
Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none.
&&
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