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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
641 PM CDT Friday Apr 18 2014

Aviation...
SC dissipating 2-3 hours after sunset. VFR throughout the forecast
period except for patchy mffr due to fog for a few hours around
sunrise Sat.
&&

Previous discussion... /issued 255 PM CDT Friday Apr 18 2014/

Aviation...
VFR conditions are expected to hold through Saturday morning. There
will be scattered cumulus this afternoon around 5000 feet. The
clouds will dissipate after sunset. It will be mostly clear
tonight/Saturday...with maybe a few high clouds.

Winds this afternoon will be northeast at 6 to 12 miles per hour. Winds tonight
will be light/variable...with winds Saturday morning varying from
northeast to southeast at 5 to 10 miles per hour.

Short term...tonight through Monday night
as the upper trough moves through the southeast U.S. An upper ridge
is building over the plains. This ridge will move east through
Sunday. The ridge will move east of Arkansas Sunday...southwest flow
will return...and this will allow moisture to increase as well. An
upper trough in The Rockies Sunday will move into the plains Monday.

Surface high pressure will keep quiet over Arkansas Saturday and for
much of Sunday. An approaching cold front will bring increasing rain
chances Sunday. There will be a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms during the day Sunday but chances will increase for
Sunday night and Monday. The front will be slow to move through the
state Monday and may stall. Monday night...the front should move out
of the state and the rain will end behind it. The warming trend will
continue through the weekend and into early next week.

Long term...Tuesday through Friday
a storm system over the middle of the country will exit to the
east to begin the extended period. Clouds will decrease...with
chances for showers and thunderstorms ending Tuesday. While fair
weather returns...a large storm system will dig into The Rockies...
which will result in ridging across the plains. It will be quite
mild Tuesday/Wednesday...with above normal temperatures in the
forecast. The period will end with low pressure forming in Kansas in
response to The Rockies system. The system will track well to the
north of Arkansas...but will drag a cold front toward the region.
Ahead of the front...have slight chances for showers and
thunderstorms Thursday/Friday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Batesville Arkansas 48 75 51 76 / 0 0 0 10
Camden Arkansas 50 79 54 80 / 0 0 0 10
Harrison Arkansas 46 75 52 75 / 0 0 0 20
Hot Springs Arkansas 50 77 55 78 / 0 0 0 10
Little Rock Arkansas 52 77 55 79 / 0 0 0 10
Monticello Arkansas 51 78 53 79 / 0 0 0 10
Mount Ida Arkansas 46 76 52 77 / 0 0 0 20
Mountain Home Arkansas 46 76 51 76 / 0 0 0 20
Newport Arkansas 48 76 51 77 / 0 0 0 10
Pine Bluff Arkansas 51 76 54 78 / 0 0 0 10
Russellville Arkansas 48 77 53 78 / 0 0 0 20
Searcy Arkansas 48 76 49 76 / 0 0 0 10
Stuttgart Arkansas 51 76 54 77 / 0 0 0 10
&&

Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none.
&&

$$



Aviation...28