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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard California
248 PM PST Tuesday Feb 9 2016

..updated aviation discussion...


Widespread record high temperatures are possible today. Temperatures
will remain above normal into the weekend but will begin to ease
tomorrow as offshore flow diminishes.


Short term...(today-fri)

Temperatures are a few degrees warmer today across the region and
many coastal sites are warmer than the inland valleys. Winds
diminished a little sooner than expected and the advisories have
been cancelled... however there remains some offshore breezes
through canyons and valleys.

Strong high pressure ridging will continue through the week and
afternoon temperatures will remain well above normal. As the
offshore flow eases further... the temperatures in the mountains and
inland valleys may gain some relief tomorrow but coastal locations
will see little if any. Locations north of Ventura County will cool
into the weekend and those to the south will do so much more slowly.

Nighttime temperatures will cool more readily with the lack of
notable moisture or cloud cover. Some residual breezes will keep
the airmass in areas near passes and canyons stirred enough to Blunt
the cooling but all other areas will get relief in the overnight

Long term...(sat-tue)

A weak trough moves through the region on Saturday and brings some
cloudiness and a five to Ten Degree drop in afternoon temperatures.
The ridge reforms fairly quickly on Sunday but it is not as strong.
Temperatures will rebound as well and the next week looks to
begin almost as warm as this one.

No precipitation is in the current forecast though there remains
hope for a pattern shift by the end of the month.



At 2230z...there was no marine inversion at klax.

High confidence in 00z taf package as weak offshore flow will keep
all sites VFR through the taf period.

Klax...high confidence in 00z taf. Weak offshore flow will keep
airfield VFR through the taf period.

Kbur...high confidence in 00z taf. Weak offshore flow will keep
airfield VFR through the taf period.


Marine...09/200 PM.

Expecting weak offshore winds. Offshore winds will be weaker for
the inner waters Wednesday morning. No other issues anticipated
across the coastal waters for the next few days. Another large
northwest swell will move into the coastal waters on Friday.


Fire... 09/900 am.

Relative humidity recovered to around 20 percent in the
wind prone areas this morning and is expected to recover
to near 40 percent Wednesday morning. Northeast winds had
diminished to 15 to 25 miles per hour with gusts to 35 miles per hour this morning and
may increase 5 to 10 miles per hour through the remainder of the morning. The
lax to dag gradient variable around -6.5 mb this morning and will
diminished this afternoon and redevelop to around -4 mb each morning
through Thursday. Minimum relative humidity will continue in the lower teens with
recovery in the upper 30s each night through Friday.


Lox watches/warnings/advisories...
California...Wind Advisory in effect until 3 PM PST this afternoon for
zones 44>46-53-54-547. (See laxnpwlox).




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