Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service New Orleans la 
1133 PM CDT Tuesday Jun 18 2013 


Aviation... 


..06z aviation discussion... 


An outflow boundary continues to push to the south and east in the 
wake of a mesoscale convective complex that impacted central 
Louisiana and southern Mississippi this evening. This outflow will 
push through kmsy...knew...and khum in the next couple of hours. 
Winds will briefly shift to the northwest and increase in speed to 
around 12-15 knots with this passing boundary. By 08z...all areas 
should see light and variable winds and any lingering shower 
activity over kmcb should dissipate. Overall...do not expect any 
significant aviation impacts from 08z through 15z. After 
15z...daytime heating and the lingering outflow boundary should 
serve as a focus for another round of convection. Have included 
thunderstorms in the vicinity wording at all terminals after 15z...with peak convection 
expected from 18-22z. As daytime heating wanes between 00z and 
02z...expect convective coverage to diminish. A lingering 
scattered to broken stratus deck between 3000 and 5000 feet can be 
expected in the wake of the convection. 32 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
mcb 90 70 89 69 / 60 40 40 30 
btr 91 73 90 71 / 50 50 50 30 
asd 91 73 90 71 / 40 50 50 30 
msy 91 75 90 74 / 40 50 50 30 
gpt 90 75 89 72 / 40 50 50 30 
pql 90 73 90 70 / 40 50 50 30 


&& 


Lix watches/warnings/advisories... 
la...none. 
GM...none. 
MS...none. 
GM...none. 
&& 


$$