Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles la
254 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 1 2015
Discussion...the sea breeze has pushed into the East Texas lakes area
and cenla this afternoon with only isolated activity near the coast.
Convection will continue to decrease through the late afternoon
and early evening as the sea breeze pushes farther north. A few
isolated showers may linger across the Gulf waters tonight,
however a middle to upper level ridge will build into the region from
the west overnight into Thursday morning. This will allow a drier middle
level air mass to move in as well helping to decrease rain chances
from Thursday into Friday. During Friday afternoon a few more storms may be
possible as the ridge retrogrades back west, however rain chances
will remain low into the 4th. The biggest caveat during Thursday and
Friday will be the higher apparent temperatures (100-105) as actual hi temperatures
climb into the low 90s to potentially middle 90s accompanied with the
lack of cooling storms.
During the Holiday weekend scattered mainly afternoon storms will
be possible again as a middle level trough digs into the region.
Next week generally isolated afternoon storms are expected as the
sub tropical ridge remains in place and an upper ridge builds
across the lower south.
Marine...the sub-tropical ridge will remain stretched from the
Atlantic across the northern Gulf Coast through the weekend. This
will keep winds light to moderate and seas low through the Holiday
weekend outside any isolated thunderstorm.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
aex 74 94 74 94 / 20 10 10 20
lch 77 92 77 91 / 20 10 10 10
lft 76 93 76 92 / 20 10 10 10
bpt 76 93 77 93 / 20 10 10 10