Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion for the Florida Keys
National Weather Service Key West Florida
1029 PM EST Wednesday Dec 17 2014
currently - a surface ridge has settled into South Florida and the
Keys as a middle latitude low emerges off the Atlantic coast. As a
result...winds are weak out of the north to northeast across the
forecast area. Stable clear conditions has allowed some interior
island locations to settle into the lower 60s to near 60...while
other island locations are in the middle to upper 60s. Dew points have
essentially remained unchanged over the past day or so...and linger
near 60. No shower activity has been detected on local radars.
Short term update (overnight) - surface winds will remain weak out of
the north to northeast overnight...as the high pressure axis remains
nearby. Stable conditions will continue...and mostly clear skies
along with the weak flow will encourage more interior locations to
radiate to near 60 degrees. Will update to nudge downwards overnight
lows and winds. Otherwise...the forecast is on track.
weak north to northeast flow will prevail across Keys waters
overnight...due to a ridge axis lying across South Florida and the
Keys. Weak flow will remain over the next several days...with the
occasional afternoon and evening enhancement in the Florida Straits.
The ongoing forecast is on track...and no changes will be made in the
evening marine update.
VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals...with winds
being weak out of the north to northeast.
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