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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jackson Kentucky
926 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015

Update...
issued at 926 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015

Once again...simply blended observation into the forecast...with no
changes of substance for the overall forecast.

Update issued at 622 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015

Have blended late day observation into the evening forecast...with no
changes of substance for the overall forecast.

&&

Short term...(this evening through Wednesday night)
issued at 308 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015

A few showers are popping up along the Kentucky/Virginia border but these are
quickly dissipating due to the dry air in place and lack of forcing.
Expect much of the same tomorrow as upper level energy skips across
northern Kentucky. Models show some precipitation with this feature but do not
expect more than an isolated shower or two along the Kentucky/Virginia border.
Temperatures will be similar as well...with highs in the upper 80s
and lows in the middle 60s. Fog is possible both nights but should
remain in the deeper valleys and along river beds.

Long term...(thursday through tuesday)
issued at 308 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015

An upper level ridge will remain in place through the period...
but embedded weak disturbances will pivot around the region. While
the bulk of the period will be dry...a small threat for a shower
or storm will exist from time to time. Decided to reduce the probability of precipitation
given by the blended guidance some since that has been overdoing
it recently. Otherwise...considering the recent dry conditions and
850 mb temperatures prognosticated to reach around 20c...temperatures will warm
well into the 80s to near 90 each day through the Labor Day
weekend.

&&

Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Wednesday evening)
issued at 926 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015

After initial VFR...valley fog will develop during the night and
grow in depth and breadth...eventually affecting even some ridge
locations. It will bring localized vlifr. The fog will dissipate
by middle morning on Wednesday...leaving VFR to last through the end
of the period.

&&

Jkl watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Update...hal
short term...jvm
long term...Abe
aviation...hal

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