Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jacksonville Florida 
906 PM EDT Wednesday Jun 19 2013 


Update...scattered evening convection continues over parts of 
the area. Surface cold front north of the area will gradually 
shift south tonight and Thursday to near the Florida-Georgia border. With 
approaching upper trough to the west and numerous boundaries will 
keep probability of precipitation in for tonight. 


&& 


Aviation... 
VFR conditions will prevail outside of convective activity. Brief 
IFR conditions will be possible in convection. Activity is widely 
scattered but amendments may be needed this evening if any 
activity approaches any of the terminals. Showers and storms are 
expected to become more numerous on Thursday and we will continue 
with afternoon thunderstorms in the vicinity at all terminals. 


&& 


Marine... 
nocturnal southerly surge around 15 knots this evening will begin 
to subside after midnight. Seas will average 2 to 4 feet. The 
forecast is in good shape and no changes are needed. 


Rip currents: low risk. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
amg 70 90 69 89 / 40 40 40 30 
ssi 74 84 74 85 / 60 60 30 30 
jax 72 89 70 88 / 50 60 40 40 
sgj 73 88 73 86 / 20 50 50 40 
gnv 70 91 70 89 / 20 60 50 50 
ocf 71 91 71 90 / 20 60 50 50 


&& 


Jax watches/warnings/advisories... 
Florida...none. 
Georgia...none. 
Am...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Zibura/Shuler/McAllister