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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jacksonville Florida
850 PM EDT sun Jul 5 2015



Update...convection swept east across NE Florida/southeast Georgia and is now
weakening over the Atlantic waters. Upper low to the north pushed
a trough across the southeast producing the strong/severe storms with
damaging winds gusts. Another round of strong convection expected
Monday afternoon as another upper trough pushes east into the
area.

&&

Aviation...trailing area of stratiform rain is still affecting
coastal terminals of crg...ssi...and sgj as it slowly moves
offshore over the next couple of hours. Following persistence from
this morning where ground was saturated from previous days thunderstorms
have included MVFR visibilities in br at gnv and vqq early tomorrow
morning. Confidence is lower in br at other sites so have not
included in 00z package but may be added in future package.
Expecting numerous storms to develop tomorrow afternoon affecting
gnv earlier in the afternoon around 18z and the remaining sites
closer to 21z. Have included just thunderstorms in the vicinity for now.



&&

Marine...winds will become S to SW as shower activity dissipates
with seas 2 to 3 feet overnight. Expect another round of late
afternoon storms moving east into the coastal waters on Monday.

Rip currents: moderate risk.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
amg 70 92 71 93 / 20 60 30 40
ssi 73 88 76 87 / 30 50 30 30
jax 71 91 72 91 / 20 60 40 50
sgj 72 89 74 90 / 20 60 40 40
gnv 70 92 71 91 / 20 60 30 60
ocf 70 92 72 92 / 20 60 30 70

&&

Jax watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Georgia...none.
Am...none.
&&

$$

Zibura/guillet/Walker

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