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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jacksonville Florida
1015 PM EDT Friday may 29 2015

..chance of passing light coastal showers tonight...

Update...a coastal trough persisted offshore of the local Atlantic
coast with greater coverage this afternoon and evening of very
light shower activity . Short range model guidance including the
hrrr/narre/arw/nmm was in good agreement with light shower
activity flirting with coastal counties overnight then activity
progressing farther inland toward the St Johns River basin through
sunrise. Evening jax radiosonde observation continued to show extensive middle/upper
level subsidence and thus advertised only shower activity
overnight with no mention of thunderstorms. Overnight low temperatures were on
track to be a bit warmer than previous nights with lows in the
middle 60s inland to low/middle 70 along the St Johns River
basin/Atlantic coast under onshore flow.

&&

Aviation...

Prevailing VFR conditions are expected tonight...as onshore flow
pattern continues. The exception will be MVFR fog at kvqq/kgnv
overnight. A few morning showers are expected at coastal sites
Saturday morning...with convection developing inland in the
afternoon...with the potential for storms at kgnv.

&&

Marine...prevailing east winds 10-15 kts with seas 3-5 feet.
Lowered forecast nwps model guidance by about 0.5 feet based on
evening sea observations.

Rip currents: moderate risk continues through Friday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
amg 66 87 69 89 / 10 40 10 30
ssi 73 82 72 83 / 40 40 30 20
jax 68 85 70 87 / 30 40 20 20
sgj 73 83 72 84 / 40 40 30 20
gnv 66 89 67 91 / 10 40 30 40
ocf 68 89 69 91 / 10 50 30 50

&&

Jax watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Georgia...none.
Am...none.
&&

$$

Enyedi/Struble/Walsh

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