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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
423 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN DROPPING SOUTH
INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND BRINING CLOUDS...LIGHT RAIN AND
EVEN SOME BRIEF SLEET TO MOSTLY THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN HALF OF THE
CWA. ELSEWHERE MANY LOCATIONS HAVE WARMED INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S
WITH EVEN THE SUN PEAKING OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AS A 1030MB HIGH
CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY REMAINS IN CONTROL OF OUR REGION WE
WILL HAVE ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT TONIGHT. LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE 40S
ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE REGION SEEING THE COOLEST
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. SOME PATCHY FROST COULD BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF
THE COLDER LOCATIONS THAT ARE ALSO ABLE TO GET RID OF RAIN AND CLOUD
COVER.

THE SFC HIGH WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TOMORROW AND THIS WILL ALLOW 
SOUTHERLY FLOW TO RETURN TO THE REGION. MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE 
AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 70S. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP
SOUTH TOWARD OUR REGION AS THE SFC LOW MOVES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
CANADA. THIS WILL BRING RAIN AND STORM CHANCES BACK TO THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE CWA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. AS THE FRONT SLOWLY SINKS
SOUTH FURTHER INTO THE CWA IT WILL EVENTUALLY STALL. THE FRONT WILL
BEGIN TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH TUESDAY IN RESPONSE TO A
SHORTWAVE...EMBEDDED IN QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT...SHIFTING EAST
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. AS THE FRONT LIFTS
NORTH...MOISTURE WILL SURGE INTO THE FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. THIS...IN ADDITION TO DAYTIME HEATING... WILL
RESULT IN SHOWERS AND STORMS AGAIN BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

WARM...MOIST AIR LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE FOR GOOD FRIDAY AS ANOTHER SFC
LOW DEVELOPS OVER OKLAHOMA AND TRACKS ACROSS THE MID SOUTH. THIS WILL
BRING A FRONT TOWARD OUR REGION FOR SATURDAY ALONG WITH RAIN CHANCES.
THIS FRONT STILL LOOKS TO CLEAR OUR CWA BY EASTER...WHICH SHOULD MAKE
FOR SOME DECENT OUTDOOR WEATHER FOR EGG HUNTS...PARADES OR OTHER
ACTIVITIES. /28/19/


&&

.AVIATION...CLOUDS IN THE 4 TO 10 KFT RANGE ARE BECOMING MORE 
CONFINED TO GWO/GTR/CBM/NMM/MEI SITES THIS AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH 
POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN MIXED WITH A BIT OF SLEET WILL STILL 
BE POSSIBLE AROUND GTR/CBM FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IN THOSE LATTER 
AREAS TEMPS WILL BE WELL ABOVE FREEZING SO NO AVIATION IMPACT 
ANTICIPATED. LATE TONIGHT CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK INTO THE 
REGION ALTHOUGH SLIGHT AND PATCHY MVFR FLIGHT CATS ARE EXPECTED AT 
WORST LASTING FROM AROUND DAYBREAK UNTIL LATER TOMORROW MORNING. /BB/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       42  74  59  74 /   3   2  19  33 
MERIDIAN      37  70  57  74 /   4   2  23  39 
VICKSBURG     45  77  59  73 /   2   2  18  31 
HATTIESBURG   43  73  59  81 /   3   2  10  25 
NATCHEZ       48  78  59  76 /   2   2   8  22 
GREENVILLE    42  73  57  67 /   3   2  59  40 
GREENWOOD     41  73  57  70 /   4   2  58  44 

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$
29/19/BB

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