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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
906 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.UPDATE...MADE SOME SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT.
DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE AREA WERE SLOWLY FALLING OUT OF THE LOWER
60S...SO LOWS SHOULD BE GOOD IN THE MID AND UPPER 50S. WINDS WERE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE BUT MAY STAY UP JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP TEMPERATURES
SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TRIED
TO TWEAK THE HOURLY VALUES TO SHOW SLOWER COOLING. LOCATIONS IN THE
NORTHWEST MAY HOLD ON TO THE LOWER 60S LONGER. PATCHY FOG WAS ALREADY
DEVELOPING AROUND THE AREA...SO WENT AHEAD AND ADDED IT TO THE
FORECAST. WHILE DENSE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED COULD SEE PATCHY FOG IN LOW
LYING/SWAMPY AREAS WHICH COULD BE ANY WHERE IN THE CWA.
OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST WAS GOOD.


&&

.AVIATION...MORNING GROUND FOG HAS BEEN HARD TO COME BY THE PREV FEW 
MORNINGS...BUT IT APPEARS THINGS MAY BE DIFFERENT LATER TONIGHT. THE 
MAIN ISSUE IS SFC MOISTURE HAS INCREASED QUITE A BIT DURING THE 
AFTERNOON. COMBINE THAT WITH WITH COLDER GROUND AND OVERNIGHT LOWS 
FALLING INTO THE 50-55 RANGE...CROSSOVER TEMPS LOOK TO BE EASILY 
ACHIEVED AND A COMBINATION OF MVFR/IFR VIS CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE MET 
AFTER 07-09Z. RESTRICTED CONDITIONS LOOK TO IMPROVE BY 13-14Z. /CME/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       55  87  57  86 /   0   0   0   5 
MERIDIAN      55  85  52  86 /   0   0   0   5 
VICKSBURG     55  88  53  87 /   0   0   0   5 
HATTIESBURG   56  88  55  86 /   0   0   0   5 
NATCHEZ       55  85  57  86 /   0   0   0   5 
GREENVILLE    59  88  59  86 /   0   0   0   5 
GREENWOOD     57  88  58  86 /   0   0   0   5 

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

7/CME



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