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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas
611 am CST Thursday Nov 27 2014

..updated for 12z aviation discussion...

Short term...(today through saturday)
issued at 211 am CST Thursday Nov 27 2014

Low level southerly flow will return to the Central Plains today as
a ridge of high pressure translates eastward across the middle
Mississippi Valley area. A subtle trend up in temperatures can be
expected this afternoon when compared to yesterday while more
significant temperatures rises can be expected Friday-Sat as the low
level thermal ridge expands north and east across the area. Dry
weather conditions are anticipated with highs climbing into the
middle/upper 60s.

Long term...(sunday through wednesday)
issued at 211 am CST Thursday Nov 27 2014

Another surge of Canadian air is expected to arrive on Sunday
driving temperatures into the 30s across portions of central
Kansas. Highs will struggle to climb out of the lower 30s across
much of the area on Monday as the surface ridge axis settles south
across the upper Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes area late in the
day on Monday. This cool-down is expected to be short-lived as
southerly flow is prognosticated to return across the area on Tuesday
allowing temperatures to moderate. Highs are expected to return to
seasonable normals toward the middle of the week with low
probabilities for light precipitation as low level moisture
returns north ahead of a shortwave trough moving over the central
Great Basin area.

&&

Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Friday morning)
issued at 604 am CST Thursday Nov 27 2014

Aviation concerns are expected to remain minimal through the next
24 hours.

Deep upper trough is currently tracking across the eastern Continental U.S.
With surface high pressure extending through the eastern plains.
As this high shifts east...winds will eventually flip around to
the south by late this morning with expected speeds much lighter
than the last couple of days. Confidence remains high that VFR
conditions will remain in place through this taf period.

Lawson

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Wichita-kict 49 32 62 39 / 0 0 0 0
Hutchinson 49 29 64 32 / 0 0 0 0
Newton 48 31 59 38 / 0 0 0 0
Eldorado 48 34 61 42 / 0 0 0 0
Winfield-kwld 48 33 61 43 / 0 0 0 0
Russell 51 27 67 31 / 0 0 0 0
Great Bend 53 30 67 34 / 0 0 0 0
Salina 48 29 66 33 / 0 0 0 0
McPherson 47 29 62 34 / 0 0 0 0
Coffeyville 47 32 61 46 / 0 0 0 0
Chanute 46 29 59 45 / 0 0 0 0
Iola 44 29 58 44 / 0 0 0 0
Parsons-kppf 47 30 61 44 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Ict watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

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