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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas
1135 PM CST sun Jan 25 2015

..updated for 06z aviation discussion...

Synopsis...
issued at 308 PM CST sun Jan 25 2015

The upper wave that dove southward across the area last night is
spinning over Oklahoma/Arkansas/Missouri this afternoon. This
disturbance has kept clouds over eastern Kansas through the day
which has kept temperatures cooler. In addition...northerly winds
have been strong through the day with gusts of 40 to 50 miles per hour.

Billings Wright

&&

Short term...(this evening through wednesday)
issued at 308 PM CST sun Jan 25 2015

The early part of the week will be warm...with possibly record
heat. Winds will decrease early this evening as the upper wave
moves off to the east. By Monday and even Tuesday westerly winds
will return with during the day. The westerly winds and full sun
will help temperatures soar well above normal with record highs
possible to even likely. Highs are forecasted into the upper 60s
and low 70s which will be near to exceeding record highs. See the
climate section below for details.

By Wednesday zonal flow will return as the next upper wave
approaches from the northwest. A surface low and associated front
will develop and move through the area Wednesday. Ahead of the
wave...temperatures will again be very warm into the 60s.

Billings Wright

Long term...(thursday through sunday)
issued at 308 PM CST sun Jan 25 2015

High pressure will move in on Thursday behind the surface front
from Wednesday. Highs will be stunted...back to near normals for
late January...in the 40s.

As another deep trough develops in the east...multiple ripples
will move across as we sit in northwest flow. There is a potential
for precipitation Saturday as one of the ripples pushes a front
through the state...but confidence remains low on the feature.
Daytime highs will again stay nearer to normal for late
January/early February.

Billings Wright

&&

Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Monday night)
issued at 1130 PM CST sun Jan 25 2015

A few lingering stratus over southeast Kansas will quickly
translate eastward away from the area with VFR prevailing across
the region through the 24-hour period. Another transient area of middle
clouds around 9k feet may impact portions of central Kansas through
the early morning hours with light and variable winds. Winds will
become northwest again on Monday...however speeds around 15 knots
are anticipated.

&&

Climate...
issued at 308 PM CST sun Jan 25 2015

Record highs possible Monday-Tuesday.

Record high temperatures for January 26th
Wichita.....69 degrees in 1953
Salina......70 degrees in 1951
Russell.....72 degrees in 2002
Chanute.....73 degrees in 1911

Record high temperatures for January 27th
Wichita.....69 degrees in 2013
Salina......68 degrees in 1934
Russell.....65 degrees in 2002
Chanute.....70 degrees in 1934

Billings Wright

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Wichita-kict 26 68 35 71 / 0 0 0 0
Hutchinson 26 69 35 73 / 0 0 0 0
Newton 26 67 34 69 / 0 0 0 0
Eldorado 25 67 35 71 / 0 0 0 0
Winfield-kwld 25 67 34 70 / 0 0 0 0
Russell 27 70 34 72 / 0 0 0 0
Great Bend 27 71 36 74 / 0 0 0 0
Salina 26 68 35 70 / 0 0 0 0
McPherson 26 68 35 71 / 0 0 0 0
Coffeyville 26 64 33 68 / 0 0 0 0
Chanute 27 62 32 67 / 0 0 0 0
Iola 26 61 32 65 / 0 0 0 0
Parsons-kppf 26 63 32 68 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Ict watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

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