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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas
649 am CDT Monday Aug 31 2015

..updated for 12z aviation discussion...

Short term...(today through wednesday)
issued at 250 am CDT Monday Aug 31 2015

Fog expected early this morning across the area with some patchy
dense possible over south central/southeast Kansas...however not
expecting widespread dense fog with this mornings setup being less
favorable compared to Sunday morning. Meanwhile warm above normal
temperatures are expected this period as upper level ridge maintains
across the region. South winds will also be on the increase
especially for Tuesday/Wednesday...as surface trough axis deepens
over western Kansas and resultant surface pressure gradients
tightens across central/eastern Kansas. A upper level wave will move
eastward across Nebraska for Tuesday night into Wednesday. This will
cause middle-level winds to veer out with some elevated warm/moist
advection for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning across central
Kansas...this could spark off a few elevated showers/storms.

Long term...(thursday through sunday)
issued at 250 am CDT Monday Aug 31 2015

Confidence is high that above normal temperatures will prevail
across the region this period...with a dry weather pattern
maintaining until perhaps Sunday night or next Monday. Long range
models show a frontal boundary trying to push southward into
Kansas on Sunday night or Monday next week.

Jakub

&&

Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Tuesday morning)
issued at 648 am CDT Monday Aug 31 2015

Fog will be problematic for most sites at the onset...but after
about 1500 UTC VFR conditions should prevail. LIFR conditions
likely in the fog...especially at khut/ksln with krsl/kict on the
fringe of the lower conditions. Expect winds to pick up a bit this
afternoon...then diminish around sunset. -Howerton

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Wichita-kict 92 70 93 72 / 10 10 10 10
Hutchinson 93 70 94 72 / 0 10 10 10
Newton 91 69 92 72 / 10 10 10 10
Eldorado 90 69 91 71 / 10 10 10 10
Winfield-kwld 92 70 93 71 / 10 10 10 10
Russell 94 67 95 73 / 0 10 10 20
Great Bend 94 68 95 73 / 0 10 10 20
Salina 93 68 94 73 / 0 10 10 10
McPherson 93 69 94 72 / 0 10 10 10
Coffeyville 90 69 91 70 / 10 10 10 10
Chanute 89 69 90 70 / 10 10 10 10
Iola 89 69 90 70 / 10 10 10 10
Parsons-kppf 89 69 90 70 / 10 10 10 10

&&

Ict watches/warnings/advisories...
dense fog advisory until 10 am CDT this morning for ksz047>053-
067>070-082-083-091.

&&

$$

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