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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas
313 PM CDT Sat may 30 2015

Short term...(this evening through tuesday)
issued at 308 PM CDT Sat may 30 2015

Below normal temperatures and pleasant weather conditions will
prevail across the region for Sunday/Monday...as surface high
pressure slides slowly eastward across Kansas this period. Meanwhile
models are still showing some elevated moisture lifting over a middle-
level baroclinic zone across central Kansas late Sunday night/early
Monday morning...which could spark off some elevated showers and
storms. Temperatures will warm a little more on Tuesday along with
increasing south wind speeds...as surface high pressure moves
further east away from Kansas with tightening pressure gradient.

Long term...(wednesday through saturday)
issued at 308 PM CDT Sat may 30 2015

Long range models continue to support a pattern change for the
region with upper level ridging maintaining across the central
states. This will warm up the low and middle-level temperatures which is
something we have not seen so far this Spring season. This will give
way to warmer temperatures...especially for later in the week with
some upper 80s to near 90 degrees possible. The expansion of middle-
level warming from the southwest will also strengthen the elevated
mixed layer...which could cap/inhibit thunderstorm development
during the day and focus activity to the edge of the cap during
the night time hours. The better chances of thunderstorms will
affect mainly central Kansas.

Jakub

&&

Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Sunday afternoon)
issued at 1234 PM CDT Sat may 30 2015

Main aviation concern will be lower ceilings today and tonight.

One upper impulse is approaching the Ohio Valley with the last
piece of energy finally sliding across Kansas. The cold front swept
through the area last night and is now situated over south Texas with
unseasonably cold air spilling-in from the north. MVFR ceilings
are expected to remain east of I-135 through the day and should
come back in tonight. Kict will be on the western fringe of the
lower ceilings and for now going with the thinking they will come
back in tonight. Some light fog may also affect areas along and
east of I-135 late tonight...but with north and northeast winds
do not expect dense fog. Should see much more sunshine across the
forecast area sun as subsidence finally sets in.

Lawson

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Wichita-kict 52 75 56 78 / 0 10 10 10
Hutchinson 49 75 56 78 / 0 0 10 20
Newton 49 72 54 77 / 0 10 10 10
Eldorado 51 74 54 76 / 0 10 10 10
Winfield-kwld 51 75 55 77 / 0 10 10 10
Russell 46 76 56 80 / 0 0 30 20
Great Bend 48 76 57 80 / 0 0 20 20
Salina 50 75 56 78 / 0 0 20 10
McPherson 48 74 55 78 / 0 0 10 10
Coffeyville 53 73 52 77 / 0 10 10 10
Chanute 52 72 52 75 / 0 10 10 10
Iola 53 71 53 74 / 0 10 10 10
Parsons-kppf 52 73 53 76 / 0 10 10 10

&&

Ict watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

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