Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford California
251 am PDT Friday Aug 22 2014
Synopsis...little change in the weather pattern through the
weekend...with daytime high temperatures near to slightly below
normal. By the beginning of next week...high pressure will begin to
build over the area...resulting in a minor warming trend.
Discussion...upper level trough impacting much of the western
quarter of the country continues to bring upper level northwest
flow to the area. Middle level moisture was pushed east in response
to this flow...with only a few cumulus buildups along the crest...but
This northwest flow will continue over the region through the
weekend...resulting in a slight cooling trend and moderate onshore
flow. The coolest day of the week looks to be Saturday...as 850 mb
temperatures are forecast to drop between 1 and 3 degrees c from
this afternoon into Saturday afternoon. Daytime high temperatures
on Saturday are forecast to warm into the low 90s through the
valley and the middle 90s through the desert. These temperatures are
around 5 degrees below normal for the end of August.
By Sunday the upper flow becomes more zonal and continues into
into early Monday...with subtle warming each day. Early next week
high pressure will begin to build over the West Coast...resulting
in yet more warming for the area. By Wednesday...daytime high
temperatures will range from the middle 90s to the century mark for
much of the valley.
Otherwise...no major changes in the forecast this morning...with
only subtle changes in temperatures for the next seven days with no
rain in sight.
Aviation... VFR conditions will prevail across the central
California interior during the next 24 hours
Air quality issues...
on Friday August 22 2014... unhealthy for sensitive groups in Kern
County and Sequoia National Park and Forest.
Further information is available at valleyair.Org
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high.
This information is provided as part of a trial project conducted
by the National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.Weather.Gov/hnx/certainty.Php /all lower case/ for additional
information and/or to provide feedback.
site date hi_max:year lo_max:year hi_min:year lo_min:year
Kfat 08-22 108:1897 81:1960 75:1995 50:1899
kfat 08-23 112:1891 79:1959 78:1913 51:1960
kfat 08-24 112:1891 81:1930 80:1913 51:1973
Kbfl 08-22 109:1919 82:1983 78:2009 44:1903
kbfl 08-23 110:1913 83:1960 80:1982 49:1915
kbfl 08-24 112:1913 82:1963 79:1967 45:1903