Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford California
246 PM PDT Sat Mar 15 2014
few clouds and above normal temperatures are expected through
Monday. Near record high temperatures are expected Sunday and
Monday throughout the San Joaquin Valley.
large upper level epac ridge will build into the area through
Sunday with near record temperatures across the central California
interior. Upper trough is expected to move through on Monday with
breezy conditions. Slightly cooler temperatures are expected
with the trough and it will quickly move east of the area by late
Monday afternoon into early evening. Winds will be gusty through
the Kern County mountain passes and desert areas Monday evening
through Tuesday morning. It will be marginal for an advisory and
we will wait another model run or two to confirm if the event will
happen or not. The GFS is weaker with the winds and confidence is
low. A few high clouds with the trough as it moves through with no
precipitation expected at this time. A secondary trough is
forecast to move through the region on Tuesday evening with cooler
air behind it Wednesday. Temperatures are expected to drop a few degrees by
midweek and then a brief warm up again late in the week. Zonal flow
over the region into next weekend with continued dry forecast and
above normal temperatures.
VFR conditions will prevail over the central California interior
through the next 24 hours.
Air quality issues...
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high.
This information is provided as part of a trial project conducted
by the National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.Weather.Gov/hnx/certainty.Php /all lower case/ for additional
information and/or to provide feedback.
site date hi_max:year lo_max:year hi_min:year lo_min:year
Kfat 03-15 87:1947 46:1906 57:2012 31:1944
kfat 03-16 88:1972 50:1948 58:1967 33:1898
kfat 03-17 90:1972 47:1982 57:1993 31:1966
Kbfl 03-15 94:1916 48:1919 60:1900 23:1901
kbfl 03-16 91:1972 46:1919 60:2004 25:1905
kbfl 03-17 88:2004 51:1919 63:1976 31:1922