Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
1150 am CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015
see the 18z aviation discussion below.
the cold front was approaching the coastal areas at 1630z. A few
vicinity showers at kgls are expected to be offshore of the site
by 18z. Otherwise VFR conditions expected. Winds will be the main
item of concern this afternoon. A weak seabreeze may move inland
and affect mainly klbx and kgls. Overall generally expect that
after a 4 to 6 hour period of northerly winds near 7 to 9
knots...high pressure will move overhead and winds will become
light and variable over the inland sites by early this evening.
Expect light east to northeast winds to persist at kgls through
the night and Wednesday morning.
Previous discussion... /issued 939 am CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015/
temperatures running 1-3 degrees higher than they were 24 hours ago...but
much drier airmass is filtering into the region. Mostly sunny skies
should allow for substantial heating today and suspect we'll
probably see the record high approached or broken on Galveston
Island (previous was 87 set last year). Scattered rain showers have pushed off
the coast but can't completely rule out an isolated cell or two later
this afternoon with a weak sea/baybreeze. For the update...just made
minor tweaks to temperatures and lowered probability of precipitation for all but those closest to
the coast and offshore. 47
Preliminary point temps/pops...
College Station (cll) 93 57 94 59 93 / 0 10 0 0 0
Houston (iah) 93 57 92 61 91 / 0 10 0 0 0
Galveston (gls) 87 72 84 72 83 / 20 10 0 0 0