Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
538 am CST Tuesday Feb 9 2016
VFR. Northwest winds around 10 to 15 knots today with some higher gusts...
decreasing later this afternoon and this evening. Light winds tonight
coming around to the southeast and S during the day tomorrow and increasing
to 5 to 10 knots. 42
Previous discussion... /issued 330 am CST Tuesday Feb 9 2016/
infrared Sat showing some cirrus moving across coastal areas.
Elsewhere...it is clear. Temperatures are currently in the low to middle
30s across the northern areas...so we will see a cold start to
the day. Dw points range from near 30 coastal southwest to the teens
across the far north. With mixing later today...will see low rh's
falling into the teens to lower 20s.
A gradual warmup is expected the rest of the week as the current
amplified western ridge/eastern trough becomes more progressive
and results in middle/upper heights rising at the end of the week and
into the weekend. Moisture will begin to return Wednesday night. A cold
front will approach from the NE on Saturday and it will likely
stall across southern portions of southeast Texas on Sat night. This
weakening boundary and an approaching middle/upper trough will produce
a slight chance of rain on sun/Mon. 33
winds and seas are beginning to come down...but will keep the
caution flags in the nearshore waters and advisories in the
offshore waters until 9 am. Light to occasionally moderate
south to southwest winds can be expected during the late week
a very dry air mass remains in place. Humidity levels will be
very low today but winds will not be as strong as they were
yesterday. A red flag warning will not be issued at this time.
However...it will only take a slight increase in wind speeds to
place US back into warning levels. We will be watching this
Preliminary point temps/pops...
College Station (cll) 63 40 69 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Houston (iah) 63 41 69 51 76 / 0 0 0 0 0
Galveston (gls) 60 48 63 56 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
GM...small craft should exercise caution until 9 am CST this morning
for the following zones: waters from Freeport to the
Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 nm...waters from High Island
to Freeport out 20 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 am CST this morning for the
following zones: waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship
Channel 20 nm to 60 nm...waters from High Island to
Freeport 20 to 60 nm.