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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
349 PM CDT Tuesday Sep 23 2014

weather should remain status quo for the next couple days as we remain
under the influence of surface high pressure stretching from East Texas through
the NE states. We should see an increase of low level moisture move
into the region under the ridge from the east later Thursday and
bring some rain chances back to the coastal waters and possibly
Matagorda Bay region through much of the weekend. Middle level weakness/trough
in The Big Bend area makes some very very slow eastward progress Wednesday-Monday
also drawing some moisture in from the SW. GFS continues to show a
decent shot of rain across inland areas Sat & sun with deeper
moisture in place. Canadian is also depicting a wetter solution fwiw.
European model (ecmwf) is showing substantial middle/high cloudiness but with drier
llvls inland just some meager precipitation chances. It looks more like
a virga-type setup. Will just have to wait and see which models
vertical moisture profile ends up verifying best. Though previous
shift introduced lowish probability of precipitation inland...which I will keep...overall
forecast is currently geared closer to toward the European model (ecmwf). But may need
to adjust probability of precipitation upwards in the days to come...especially closer to the
coast. 47


the winds have diminished a bit this afternoon to below caution
levels. However...a persistent easterly to northeasterly wind is
expected to persist through the upcoming weekend. The models have
also relaxed the wind speeds a bit except over the offshore waters
beyond 20 nm. Caution conditions are still likely late Friday into
Saturday night in these locations.

Still may see some high water levels during the high tide times
along the coasts of the bays...inlets...and Gulf. The new moon will
occur tomorrow the 24th. If the east-northeasterly fetch continues...
water levels may approach 3 feet along the coast during the times of
high tide for the next few days. 40


Preliminary point temps/pops...
College Station (cll) 61 85 63 88 67 / 0 0 10 10 10
Houston (iah) 61 86 66 88 67 / 0 10 10 10 10
Galveston (gls) 73 85 75 86 75 / 0 10 10 20 20


Hgx watches/warnings/advisories...



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