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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
1154 PM CDT Friday may 29 2015

will probably see some scattered MVFR ceilings and patchy fog develop across
parts of the area later tonight and early morning. Otherwise
mainly VFR. Will continue to keep an eye on convection upstream
for any surprises but feel pretty good to remove most mentions of
precipitation overnight. Ceilings should lift middle morning and a weak frontal
boundary will sag in southeast Texas. Expect scattered thunderstorms to develop on both
this boundary along west/ seabreeze during middle morning hours and
probably collide across cntl parts of southeast Texas late in the aftn/evng.
Strong storms and increased rain rates will occur if/where this
occurs. Another upper disturbance moves in from the north after
midnight Sunday and could see either continued precipitation or
redevelopment during the overnight time period. 47


Previous discussion... /issued 858 PM CDT Friday may 29 2015/
quiet evening across southeast Texas with mostly clear skies. Adjusted probability of precipitation
down for the rest of the evening and tapered from chance probability of precipitation across
the extreme northern areas to slight chance elsewhere for the early
morning hours. Expect cpnvective activity to increase late
morning/early afternoon tomorrow as a slow moving front approaches
from the northwest. Still some model differences concerning timing of the
precipitation tomorrow. Only change for now is to adjust probability of precipitation down a little
in the morning across southeast areas. Still expect a heavy
rainfall/flood threat near the boundary beginning at some point in
the afternoon and continuing into Sat night. 33


Preliminary point temps/pops...
College Station (cll) 71 83 67 82 66 / 20 70 50 30 10
Houston (iah) 72 86 69 82 67 / 20 70 70 50 20
Galveston (gls) 77 84 73 82 73 / 20 50 50 50 30


Hgx watches/warnings/advisories...
Texas...Flash Flood Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning
for the following zones: Austin...Brazoria...Brazos...
Burleson...Chambers...Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston...
Matagorda...Montgomery...Polk...San Jacinto...Trinity...




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