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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
347 am CDT sun Aug 30 2015

shortwave over wcntl Texas should continue dropping southward and
eventually become the southern portion of a 500 mb trough axis stretching
from the Great Lakes into south Texas. This trough will likely remain
in the vicinity for much of the week.

Radar is currently picking up some light returns northwest of the County Warning Area &
wouldn't be overly surprised if a few locations see a couple of
drops today...but suspect drier llvls will keep measurable amounts
at a minimum. Same GOES for near the coast regarding seabreeze
potential. GOES sounder imagery still showing the higher precipitable waters
confined offshore.

Guidance suggests higher moisture levels gradually return back
inland late Monday into midweek...providing the better chances of
rain especially Tuesday & Wednesday. Although daytime heating/seabreeze will
maintain slt chance/chance probability of precipitation beyond then...overall chances should
diminish during the second half of the week as the trough axis
meanders eastward. Still some uncertainty as to if/when this shift
occurs as medium range models continue to have differing opinions
on its evolution. 47


not a lot of changes with the upcoming forecast as high pressure to the
east helps to maintain mainly light (to occasionally moderate) S/southeast
winds over the coastal waters through much of this week. A broad upper
level disturbance developing over the region will provide some supply-
port for isolated/widely scattered storms during this same time frame as well.


low-level moisture has been a bit slower to return to southeast Texas but we
are seeing enough dewpoint increases to support the development of
some patchy br this morning...particularly for the more southern sites.
MVFR visible should be a bit more widespread tomorrow morning. 41


Preliminary point temps/pops...
College Station (cll) 92 73 93 73 92 / 20 10 10 10 40
Houston (iah) 91 72 92 74 90 / 10 10 20 10 40
Galveston (gls) 89 79 88 79 86 / 10 20 20 40 40


Hgx watches/warnings/advisories...



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