Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
1242 PM CDT Friday Aug 22 2014
18z taf discussion in aviation section.
upper level ridge seems to be well in control over much of the north
Gulf into the northwest Gulf. Think convection will be suppressed today
and tomorrow. Surface ridge slowly edging west so expect light winds
tonight going into Saturday. Overall only minor if any aviation
impacts the next 24 hours.
Kcll/kuts/kcxo...winds should decouple and with surface high closer to
area may have longer period of calm winds. Think ground fog may be
an issue with some low ceilings so tempo MVFR ceilings for visibility and
ceilings at the terminals. Kuts had IFR ceilings so cannot rule out
brief period of IFR but not enough confidence for taf yet. Ceilings
should lift late morning tomorrow with VFR after that.
Kiah/khou/ksgr/klbx/kgls...surface ridge will be more of an impact
tonight with calmer winds so ground fog may be an issue for rural
terminals like ksgr/klbx. Possible that MVFR ceilings could
develop but again should be temporary like this morning. Think
kiah/khou will stay VFR with MVFR possible for ksgr/klbx. Do not
see any impacts for kgls.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
College Station (cll) 100 77 99 75 98 / 10 10 10 10 10
Houston (iah) 97 77 97 77 96 / 10 10 10 10 10
Galveston (gls) 92 84 92 84 92 / 10 10 10 10 10
Texas...heat advisory until 7 PM CDT Saturday for the following zones: