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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
1137 am CST Thursday Feb 11 2016

other than some gusty SW real concerns through the late
evening hours west/ VFR conditions prevailing. Time period from 9-15z
(3am- 9am cst) becomes quite tricky. Almost all available guidance
develops fog across a good portion of southeast Texas...with potential for
some dense fog possible. Digging into the data a little bit
more...most show surface temperature/dewpoint spreads don't really go below
2-5f and SW flow 10-25kt just above the surface to 2000ft suggests at
least some partial mixing. Suspect most areas will probably see
some shallow ground fog like southern parts of the region saw last
night. Tweaked forecast visby's down from the 12z package...but not
quite ready to go as pessimistic as current guidance suggests just
yet. Transition back to VFR conditions after 15-16z Friday. 47


Previous discussion... /issued 953 am CST Thursday Feb 11 2016/
a southwesterly surface flow has set up over the forecast area
under mostly clear skies this morning. Am expecting temperatures
to reach into the middle to upper 70s later this afternoon. Other
than a few tweaks to the temperatures...the current forecast is on
track. 40


Preliminary point temps/pops...
College Station (cll) 79 52 76 50 69 / 0 0 0 0 10
Houston (iah) 79 55 78 53 70 / 0 0 0 0 10
Galveston (gls) 68 59 70 57 65 / 0 0 0 0 10


Hgx watches/warnings/advisories...
GM...small craft should exercise caution until noon CST today for the
following zones: waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship
Channel 20 nm to 60 nm...waters from High Island to
Freeport 20 to 60 nm.



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