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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
1257 PM CDT Thursday may 28 2015

Aviation...
based on current radar trends have added the mention of thunderstorms in the vicinity for
most sites (except lbx/gls) for the rest of the afternoon. Ridging a-
loft appears to be a bit weaker than previously expected...so we
are seeing storms holding together and/or developing in the area
as the afternoon wears on. At this time...not seeing any low level boundaries
for this precipitation to focus on so will keep with vc wording until the
evening hours. However short term forecasts are indicating the possibility
of an overnight thunderstorms and rain complex moving in from the northwest. 41

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 1104 am CDT Thursday may 28 2015/

Surface analysis has moisture axis running from the coastal Bend
through c Texas and then into north c Texas. Area radar showing some showers
developing over c Texas just west of the Brazos Valley and this
activity may develop east through the afternoon based on recent
hrrr trends. Increased chances to 30 percent for the afternoon
based on this. Maximum temperatures in the middle/upper 80s looks on track for
the day as well.

Afternoon forecast will focus on thunderstorm chances Friday and
then again late Saturday into Sunday. It looks like late Sat into
sun has better set up for heavy rainfall with frontal boundary
working into the area.

39

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
College Station (cll) 88 73 86 72 83 / 30 20 50 20 40
Houston (iah) 87 74 85 72 84 / 20 20 50 20 40
Galveston (gls) 85 78 84 76 83 / 20 10 30 20 30

&&

Hgx watches/warnings/advisories...
Texas...none.
GM...none.
&&

$$

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