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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Gray ME
956 PM EST sun Dec 28 2014

a cold front will cross the region overnight. High pressure will
build in from the west Monday afternoon through Wednesday. A cold
front will approach from the northwest on Thursday and will cross
the region on Friday. High pressure will build in behind the front
Friday night and will shift offshore on Saturday.


Near term /until 6 am Monday morning/...
955 PM...waiting on second cold front...which looks to be in
between international border and St Lawrence Valley...extending SW into northwest Vermont
and the Adirondacks around 02z. Should cross the County Warning Area between 06z
and 10z with little impact...other than a few shsn in the mountains
have bumped up mins a bit on the coastal plain as the west-southwest flow
ahead of the front will hold and prevent any rad cooling...and
also keep thins a touch warmer with the downslope.

Previously...cold front has pushed off shore and a secondary cold
front will move out of Quebec and into our far northern forecast
zones tonight. This will bring colder air but only expect a slight
chance of a snow showing in the mountains with this front with
favorable upslope flow.


Short term /6 am Monday morning through Monday night/...
the secondary cold front will push through the rest of the area
tomorrow and high pressure will build in behind it. Only going
with slight pop across the north and mountains and should be much
anywhere else. High temperatures will be about 10 to 15 degrees
cooler tomorrow as cold air advection takes over. Skies should
clear out tomorrow and expecting one of our coldest nights in
quite awhile. Although Portland is currently in the top 5 for
warmest should slip back a bit as normal to slightly
below normal are expected.


Long term /Tuesday through Sunday/...
quiet but cold week on tap as Arctic air gradually settles
back into the northeast.

High pressure building in from the west on Tuesday will result
in mostly sunny skies with temperatures below normal. Highs
will only range through the teens in the north and won't get
out of the 20s in the south.

Clear and cold weather will continue Tuesday night and Wednesday
as high pressure crests over the region. Lows Tuesday night will
fall to 5 below to 5 above north and in the single numbers to
lower teens south. Highs on Wednesday will once again range
through the teens north and 20s south.

Weak over-running pattern setting up to the west of the forecast
area Wednesday night will bring variable clouds into the region.
Best lift remains north of the border but will probably include
some low chance probability of precipitation in the north. Despite the clouds will again
see low well below normal with single numbers north and teens

Cold front will approach from the northwest on Thursday bringing
increasing clouds in northern zones and a chance of late day snow
showers. Remainder of the forecast area will see partly sunny
skies. Highs will generally range through the 20s.

Cold front pushes through the region Thursday night bringing a
round of snow showers to the region along with another shot Arctic
air. Front will push offshore on Friday followed by high pressure.
Morning clouds and lingering flurries will give way to mostly
sunny skies.

Big model diffs for the weekend as GFS takes low pressure into
southern Canada well to the west of the forecast area while new
European model (ecmwf) keeps this system well south of the forecast area along with
any associated precipitation. With all the uncertainty will likely keep
the forecast simple with a chance of rain or snow for
Saturday/Saturday night time frame.


Aviation /03z Monday through Friday/...
short term...expecting VFR conditions across the entire region.
May have brief MVFR conditions in the mountains with upslope snow
showers possible later tonight.

Long term...VFR Tuesday through Friday.


short term...winds and seas should decrease and expecting to just
let Small Craft Advisory expire. High pressure builds in tomorrow and no other
flags expected through Tuesday morning.

Long's may be needed Thursday.


Gyx watches/warnings/advisories...
New Hampshire...none.


near term...cempa
short term...
long term...

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