Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
358 PM CDT sun Aug 2 2015

Forecast discussion for routine afternoon forecast issuance

Short term...tonight and Monday
issued at 358 PM CDT sun Aug 2 2015

Severe thunderstorm threat will end this evening as
cold front exits the area. Clearing expected tonight that lasts
into early Monday. Cyclonic upper flow and weak disturbance should
produce some afternoon showers in the north Monday afternoon.
Temperatures should return to normal tonight and be a few degrees
cooler than usual Monday.

Long term...Monday night through Sunday
issued at 358 PM CDT sun Aug 2 2015

Medium range models are in good agreement for much of the week
before going their own ways.

Cyclonic flow aloft will bring clouds to the area...especially
near the Upper Michigan border...early in the forecast period there
could even be a few showers during that time but have trimmed
probability of precipitation to fit adjacent grids and have low or no probability of precipitation for the early
part of the week. Blended model solution for middle to late in the
week was left as is...resulting in some shower/thunder chances
Wednesday night and Thursday across central and east central

Temperatures should be below normal throughout the work week.

Aviation...for 18z taf issuance
issued at 1243 PM CDT sun Aug 2 2015

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected
during the afternoon and early evening as a cold front moves
across Wisconsin. The storms could produce strong wind gusts and
large hail. VFR conditions expected otherwise. Skies should clear
overnight and remain mostly clear through 15z Monday. An upper
level disturbance will produce scattered showers and clouds
between 3000 and 4000 feet Monday afternoon.

Grb watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term.....Rdm

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations