Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Hastings NE
526 am CST Sat Dec 27 2014

Short term...(today and tonight)
issued at 242 am CST Sat Dec 27 2014

Quick clearing trend early this morning with most of the forecast
area clear or near clear already. Temperatures have dropped as a
result. We could see some scattered wrap around clouds...but the
trend should result in a mostly sunny/sunny day across the area.
Surface high pressure along the Front Range will slide into
Oklahoma and gradually shift winds to the west and eventually
southwest by this evening. Should remain generally under 15 miles per hour
however. No precipitation is expected through tonight. Highs
today will rebound some given sun and westerly component flow
despite some fresh snow cover.

Long term...(sunday through friday)
issued at 242 am CST Sat Dec 27 2014

Surface high pressure will move to the east and winds will turn to
the south and with a little warm advection...temperatures should be
a little warmer than today. An upper level wave approaches the area
during the day and with moisture increasing expect clouds to
increase during the day on Sunday.

A cold front will move through the area Sunday night. With the upper
level wave moving through the area expect there could be some light
snow moving into the area late Sunday night. The snow is expected to
spread across the area on Monday and much colder temperatures move
into the area. Would not be surprised if temperatures fall during
the afternoon on Monday. The snow and cold air continue to push to
the south Monday night as well. A cold high pressure system pushes
into the area late Monday night and Tuesday and skies should start
to clear during the day Tuesday.

The cold air in entrenched across the area and Tuesday will be the
coldest day so far this season with much of the area having high
temperatures only in the 5 to 15 degree range. With the surface high
centered over the area Tuesday night very cold temperatures are
expected. In addition to the cold temperatures there will be enough
of a breeze to create wind chill values near -20 degrees.

The surface high moves to the south on Wednesday. Although still not
warm...temperatures will start to moderate on Wednesday. The warming
trend continues through Friday. Sunshine is expected Wednesday and
Thursday. By Friday there is warm advection and an increase in
moisture from the south. Expect clouds to increase during the day on
Friday.

&&

Aviation...(for the 12z kgri/kear tafs through 12z Sunday morning)
issued at 525 am CST Sat Dec 27 2014

VFR conditions are forecast for the entire period. Patch of lower
clouds in western Nebraska doesn/T appear to be moving into the
area...so just some passing higher clouds. Winds will remain at
10kts or less as they gradually shift to the southwest by
evening.

&&

Gid watches/warnings/advisories...
NE...none.
Kansas...none.
&&

$$

Short term...NOAA/NWS/Moritz
long term...jcb
aviation...NOAA/NWS/Moritz

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations