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Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
536 PM CST Thursday Feb 11 2016

Aviation...
/00z tafs/

VFR conditions expected through the period with no major aviation
concerns expected. Light north flow will persist and strengthen
slightly overnight tonight. At Waco...southerly winds currently
will become northerly later tonight. On Friday...north winds
around 10 knots are expected to prevail under VFR conditions.

Dunn

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 237 PM CST Thursday Feb 11 2016/
the weak front moving across the area has made little progress
southward since this morning. Temperatures remain above normal
areawide with areas north of the front in the low to middle 70s and
upper 70s and low 80s across the southern two thirds of the
region. As of 2pm Waco has recorded a maximum temperature of 81
degrees...which will tie their record high for the day.

Surface high pressure settling into the plains will push the
frontal boundary through the region on Friday...allowing for
cooler afternoon temperatures. Return flow will redevelop by
Sunday as the high moves east and low pressure develops in the Lee
of The Rockies. A developing upper shortwave trough will push
this low and an associated cold front into the region Sunday night
into early Monday bringing a chance for rain across areas
generally along and east of Interstate 35. Instability looks
rather meager with this system so have pulled mention of thunder
for all but our far east counties.

Upper level ridging begins to overspread the area in the wake of
this system bringing pleasant conditions and a slow return to
above normal temperatures. 99

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 42 66 39 59 46 / 0 0 0 0 5
Waco, Texas 42 69 39 64 47 / 0 0 0 0 10
Paris, Texas 38 63 35 52 37 / 0 0 0 0 5
Denton, Texas 38 65 35 57 44 / 0 0 0 0 5
McKinney, Texas 38 65 37 55 42 / 0 0 0 0 5
Dallas, Texas 43 65 41 58 46 / 0 0 0 0 10
Terrell, Texas 41 67 39 57 43 / 0 0 0 0 5
Corsicana, Texas 46 68 42 61 46 / 0 0 5 0 10
Temple, Texas 45 70 41 65 49 / 0 0 5 0 10
Mineral Wells, Texas 38 68 35 61 45 / 0 0 0 0 5

&&

Forward watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

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