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Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
540 am CST Friday Feb 12 2016

Aviation...
VFR conditions will occur through 18z Saturday. A cold front that
extended southeast of a kprx /Paris/ to kact /Waco/ to kgrk
/Killeen/ line as of 11z...will continue to move southeastward
today. North winds around 10 knots will prevail through tonight
with winds coming around to the east and southeast Saturday
morning as a surface high centered to our north moves east.

58

&&



Previous discussion... /issued 220 am CST Friday Feb 12 2016/
the cold frontal that is currently moving through central Texas
will result in high temperatures being 5 or so degrees cooler than
Thursday...ranging in the upper 60s to lower 70s across north and
central Texas. Lows Saturday morning will be in the upper 30s to
lower 40s. With more cold air advection the highs Saturday will be
in more of the normal range for this time of year...ranging in the
middle 50s to middle 60s.

The upper flow will become more zonal Saturday night into Sunday
which will result in surface Lee troughing and the return of low
level moisture to north and central Texas. Some warm air advection
showers will be possible Sunday. Precipitation chances will
increase Sunday night/Monday morning...especially across the
east...when a shortwave trough and associated cold front move into
the region. Some isolated thunderstorms will be possible during
this time. Most of the energy from the shortwave will remain north
of the Red River...with very little instability across north and
central Texas. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during this
time. Precipitation chances will end quickly Monday afternoon as
drier and cooler air filters in from the north.

An upper ridge will build in from the west Monday night through
Wednesday and result in quiet weather and a warming trend. High
temperatures Tuesday through Thursday will be in the 70s and lows
will be in the 40s.

78.Jg

&&




Preliminary point temps/pops...
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 67 40 59 48 65 / 0 0 0 5 20
Waco, Texas 71 40 64 48 69 / 0 0 0 10 20
Paris, Texas 65 36 52 38 54 / 0 0 0 5 20
Denton, Texas 67 36 58 46 64 / 0 0 0 5 20
McKinney, Texas 66 38 56 44 62 / 0 0 0 5 20
Dallas, Texas 67 42 58 48 65 / 0 0 0 10 20
Terrell, Texas 68 40 58 45 62 / 0 0 0 5 20
Corsicana, Texas 70 43 61 48 66 / 0 5 0 10 20
Temple, Texas 72 42 65 50 70 / 0 5 0 10 20
Mineral Wells, Texas 69 36 61 47 69 / 0 0 0 5 10

&&

Forward watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

58/78

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