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Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
539 PM CST Tuesday Feb 9 2016

Aviation...
/00z tafs/

VFR conditions expected through the period with no major aviation
concerns. Northerly flow around 10kt will become light southerly
overnight as the center of the surface high settles to the east of
the area. Southerly winds will increase and become more southwest
during the day Wednesday.

Dunn

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 245 PM CST Tuesday Feb 9 2016/
fairly quiet and dry weather will persist through the weekend but
a shift in the weather pattern next week may bring some rain to
parts of the region early next week.

The upper level trough that has been residing over the plains and
eastern Continental U.S. Will continue to shift east the next few days and
northwest flow aloft will persist over the region as an upper
level ridge remains over the western Continental U.S.. this upper level
ridge will build slightly east over north and central Texas as the
previously mentioned trough moves east. South to southwest winds
will return at the surface tomorrow along with west winds in the
925-850 mb layer. This will allow temperatures to warm into the
middle and upper 70s in the west to middle 60s in the east. The wind
speeds will be breezy again at 10-15 miles per hour with gusts up to 25 miles per hour.
The combination of breezy winds...above normal temperatures and
humidity values below 25 percent will lead to elevated fire
weather conditions along and west of Interstate 35/35e. A
grass Fire Danger Statement will likely be needed tomorrow for
the elevated fire weather conditions.

On Thursday...a weak front will quietly slide across the region.
No precipitation is expected with this front as the atmosphere
will remain dry. High temperatures Thursday will vary from the
middle 60s in the north to middle 70s in the south. Similar conditions
are expected on Friday with light winds...and then another front
arrives Friday night. Temperatures will briefly cool a few more
degrees behind saturdays front...but a significant cool down is
not expected.

South winds will quickly return on Sunday and enough moisture
return may occur ahead of another front Sunday night. A shortwave
trough will move through the plains Sunday night and may provide
enough lift for isolated showers and thunderstorms across mainly
the eastern half of the region. Significant rainfall accumulations
are not expected as the precipitation will quickly end from west
to east as the surface low and front move through.

In the wake of the upper level trough...ridging will move into
the plains allowing temperatures to warm through the early part of
next week.

Jldunn

&&




Preliminary point temps/pops...
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 37 72 48 68 42 / 0 0 0 0 0
Waco, Texas 35 74 46 75 43 / 0 0 0 0 0
Paris, Texas 29 65 42 65 35 / 0 0 0 0 0
Denton, Texas 33 73 44 66 38 / 0 0 0 0 0
McKinney, Texas 35 69 44 66 39 / 0 0 0 0 0
Dallas, Texas 37 71 48 69 43 / 0 0 0 0 0
Terrell, Texas 33 67 46 69 41 / 0 0 0 0 0
Corsicana, Texas 36 70 48 73 46 / 0 0 0 0 0
Temple, Texas 38 73 48 76 46 / 0 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells, Texas 38 76 44 69 37 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

Forward watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

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