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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
1127 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2014

Aviation...
no major changes to the 06z taf package. VFR conditions will
continue overnight. Low clouds will develop over The Hill Country
and south Texas overnight. These clouds should reach Waco around
12z Sunday and the metroplex taf sites about an hour later.
Ceilings between 1500 and 2500 feet will be brief...especially at the
metropolitan terminals...and should lift and scatter by 16z. Only
scattered cumulus are expected from late morning Sunday through Sunday
evening.

Since moisture will remain very shallow and forcing will be lacking...
thunderstorm chances will be very low through Sunday afternoon.

79

&&




Previous discussion... /issued 352 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2014/
thunderstorms have had a difficult time maintaining themselves so
far this afternoon...however...they have started to look a little
better in the last hour as we approach maximum heating. The 12z
sounding indicated a potential for some down bursts...so will
keep a mention of strong gusty winds through sunset in the
hazardous weather outlook. Most of this activity will dissipate
toward sunset as a weak shortwave moves to our east and we lose
daytime heating. Lows temperatures tonight will be in the upper
60s to middle 70s across the region.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and early
evening should be limited to the southeastern zones. We may see
some morning low clouds across the eastern third Sunday
morning...otherwise expect mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will
be a few degrees warmer...with highs in the 90s area wide.

The upper level ridge will build across the region early week and
will dominate the weather through Saturday. There may be some low
rain chances across the south but for now have only mentioned low
rain chances across the south on Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Lows will be in the 70s and highs will be in the 90s.

58




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Preliminary point temps/pops...
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 75 96 77 97 79 / 0 10 5 5 5
Waco, Texas 73 96 76 97 78 / 5 10 10 5 5
Paris, Texas 71 91 73 93 75 / 5 10 5 5 5
Denton, Texas 73 94 77 97 78 / 0 10 5 5 5
McKinney, Texas 72 95 74 95 76 / 0 10 5 5 5
Dallas, Texas 76 96 78 97 79 / 0 10 5 5 5
Terrell, Texas 74 93 75 95 77 / 5 10 5 5 5
Corsicana, Texas 74 94 75 96 77 / 5 20 10 5 5
Temple, Texas 72 96 74 97 76 / 5 20 10 5 5
Mineral Wells, Texas 73 96 73 98 74 / 0 5 5 5 5

&&

Forward watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

79/25

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