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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
658 PM CDT Friday Aug 29 2014

Aviation...
VFR through Saturday afternoon with scattered daytime cumulus and
scattered to broken middle and high clouds.

Showers and thunderstorms this evening should remain east or
southeast of the metroplex airports where moisture and instability
are the most favorable. Waco could see a brief shower or storm in
the vicinity until sunset. Storm chances across North Texas will
be even less on Saturday since the deep moisture will remain
along the Texas coast.

A south to southeast wind will prevail at all taf sites through
Saturday. Wind speeds will range from 9 to 15 knots along with a
few higher gusts through sunset...especially at the metropolitan
terminals as an outflow boundary moves west across the area.
Wind speeds will range from 8 to 12 knots on Saturday.



79

&&



Previous discussion... /issued 335 PM CDT Friday Aug 29 2014/
water vapor satellite imagery shows a shortwave over the western
part of the forecast area at 3 PM. This system will move east
through tonight. There will continue to be a chance of showers
and thunderstorms across the region with the best chances
shifting east during the night. Expect most of the rain to have
ended across the forecast area by 06z...but have left 20 percents
across across all but the southeastern zones where 30 percents
will remain.

A weak shortwave is forecast to move across the forecast area
Saturday so have kept 20 percent probability of precipitation during the day across
locations east of a line from Bowie to Lampasas and some
lingering 20s for areas southeast of an Athens to Cameron line
Saturday evening. Some low rain chances will continue Sunday
southeast of a Killeen to Emory line.

An upper level ridge will build west into the region Labor Day
and dominate the weather for much of next week. This ridge will
not be extremely strong but will be enough to keep most of the
forecast area hot and dry. Isolated to scattered afternoon and
early evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible in the
southeastern zones Tuesday through Thursday...and maybe even
Thursday. Highs will be mostly in the middle to upper 90s over the
weekend through much of next week.

&&




Preliminary point temps/pops...
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 75 96 77 97 78 / 30 20 10 10 10
Waco, Texas 73 96 76 97 77 / 40 20 10 20 10
Paris, Texas 72 91 72 94 73 / 40 20 10 10 10
Denton, Texas 73 96 74 97 77 / 30 20 5 5 5
McKinney, Texas 72 93 73 95 75 / 30 20 10 10 10
Dallas, Texas 76 95 77 97 78 / 30 20 10 10 10
Terrell, Texas 73 93 75 95 75 / 40 20 10 10 10
Corsicana, Texas 73 94 76 96 75 / 40 20 10 20 10
Temple, Texas 73 96 74 96 75 / 40 20 10 20 10
Mineral Wells, Texas 70 97 72 98 73 / 30 10 5 5 5

&&

Forward watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

79/25

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