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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
228 am CDT Thursday Sep 3 2015

Discussion...
a weak middle level low will remain along the Texas Gulf Coast today
and result in isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
mainly across south Texas. A few of these showers and storms may
drift northward into the southeastern zones late this afternoon.
Any showers or storms which do manage to reach North Texas will be
brief and should dissipate after sunset.

Upper level high pressure will dominate North Texas through early
next week and result in hot and mainly rain-free weather. The only
exception will be an isolated shower or storm in the southeast
zones Friday afternoon. High temperatures through early next week
will be in the middle and upper 90s with even a few triple digit
readings around the region Sunday and Monday.

The upper level ridge will begin to break down early next week as
a fairly strong upper trough and associated cold front moves
across the northwest Continental U.S.. most of the energy with this trough
will remain well north of the region. However...the cold front is
prognosticated by both the European model (ecmwf) and GFS to reach the Texas Panhandle and
central Oklahoma on Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms will
accompany the cold front and a few of these storms may reach the
Red River counties of North Texas Wednesday afternoon/night.

Better rain/thunderstorm chances will arrive in North Texas
next Thursday through Friday when a secondary upper trough moves
across the northern and Central Plains and allows the cold front
to move south across the region.

79

&&

Aviation...
/issued 1146 PM CDT Wednesday Sep 2 2015/
quiet aviation weather continues across North Texas late this
evening with VFR conditions at all locations. The latest
collection of model data suggests that MVFR ceilings will spread far
enough north to affect the kact area for a few hours Thursday
morning...but conditions in the Dallas-Fort Worth area should
remain VFR. Otherwise...south to southeast surface winds of 10 knots
or less are expected.

30



&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 77 96 78 97 79 / 5 5 5 10 5
Waco, Texas 76 95 76 97 77 / 5 10 5 10 5
Paris, Texas 73 95 73 96 74 / 5 5 5 10 5
Denton, Texas 75 95 76 98 77 / 5 5 5 10 5
McKinney, Texas 74 95 76 95 75 / 5 5 5 10 5
Dallas, Texas 78 96 79 97 80 / 5 5 5 10 5
Terrell, Texas 75 96 77 95 76 / 5 5 5 10 5
Corsicana, Texas 75 97 77 95 77 / 5 10 10 10 5
Temple, Texas 73 96 74 97 75 / 5 10 10 10 5
Mineral Wells, Texas 73 96 74 96 74 / 5 5 5 10 5

&&

Forward watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

82/79

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