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Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
607 am CDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015

Aviation...
/12z tafs/

VFR conditions will prevail through the period with south to
southeast winds at or below 10 kts. Occasional afternoon gusts around 15
kts will be possible.

A few strands of stratus clouds with bases around 1500 feet will
occur around kact this morning but will not result in broken skies.
Any showers or storms that develop this afternoon are expected to
be east and southeast of kact but it is possible an isolated
shower or storm may approach the Airport.

Jldunn

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 238 am CDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015/
broad riding aloft will remain in place across the central
Continental U.S. Through the week. A weak middle level trough will also persist
underneath the ridge across south and southeast Texas. Moisture
and instability associated with this trough will result in
isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms mainly
across southeast Texas through the week. A few of these showers
and storms may briefly impact the extreme east/southeast zones of
North Texas during the late afternoon hours. Any storms that do
manage to form will be diurnally driven and will dissipate
quickly with the loss of surface heating.

The upper ridge will gradually strengthen late in the week
through early next week and this will decrease the rain chances
and increase temperatures slightly. It appears that the first week
of meteorological fall will be hot with highs in the middle and
upper 90s. The saving Grace will be some relief during the
overnight hours when lows fall into the 70s.

The warm start to September is fairly typical for North Texas and
usually lingers through about the second or third week of the
month before the first substantial cold front moves into the
Southern Plains. Looking at current observations in the interior
of Alaska and the northwest territories...it is obvious that the
days are getting shorter and the cooler air of fall is poised to
make an appearance across the Continental U.S. Before long.

79

&&




Preliminary point temps/pops...
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 95 75 96 76 96 / 5 5 5 5 5
Waco, Texas 95 74 95 73 98 / 10 10 10 10 5
Paris, Texas 93 70 93 71 95 / 20 20 20 20 10
Denton, Texas 94 73 95 74 97 / 5 5 5 5 5
McKinney, Texas 94 73 94 73 97 / 10 10 10 10 5
Dallas, Texas 95 76 95 77 96 / 10 10 10 10 5
Terrell, Texas 94 73 94 74 97 / 10 10 10 10 5
Corsicana, Texas 93 73 95 74 97 / 10 10 10 10 10
Temple, Texas 94 71 94 71 95 / 20 20 20 20 5
Mineral Wells, Texas 96 71 96 72 97 / 5 5 5 5 5

&&

Forward watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

82/79

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