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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
629 am CDT Sat Aug 29 2015

Aviation...
showers associated with a passing short wave will continue to move
slowly south across North Texas through the day. These elevated
showers should have minimal impacts to aviation weather overall.
There is an outside chance of a brief thunderstorm through sunset.
However...only isolated coverage is expected.

VFR conditions will prevail through Sunday morning with middle/upper
level ceilings expected through the day. Clouds should lift and
scatter tonight as drier air moves in from the northwest.

A south wind will prevail through tonight at speeds generally less
than 12 knots. A weak cold front will approach the metroplex taf
sites Sunday morning. However...all North Texas taf sites should
stay in south flow through Sunday morning.

79

&&



Previous discussion... /issued 309 am CDT Sat Aug 29 2015/
expect minimal changes to our sensible weather over the next week.
With the exception of the low rain chances in the forecast for
today...another dry forecast in on tap for north and central
Texas. Afternoon highs will climb into the 90s and overnight lows
will dip into the 70s...which is about normal for this time of
year.

A shortwave and pendant cold front is approaching from the north.
The surface boundary is prognosticated to stall near the Red River today
before washing out this weekend. A few showers and possibly a
storm or two...may affect North Texas today because of this
pattern. However...do not expect widespread or organized
convection for our area. As of 8z /3 am/...the shower activity
that had developed overnight near the Red River was elevated and
likely not reaching the ground in most locations. As the lower
levels saturate though...some light rain may begin to reach the
surface.

Otherwise...expect the low that has developed off of the Gulf
Coast of la/MS to slide northward next week and bring rainfall to
East Texas...just outside of our forecast area. The upper level
high pressure currently to our west will broaden but remain
centered to our west. This pattern will help provide our seasonal
temperatures and mostly dry weather.

Ajs

&&




Preliminary point temps/pops...
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 96 75 96 75 95 / 20 20 10 10 5
Waco, Texas 95 72 96 72 96 / 20 20 10 5 5
Paris, Texas 94 72 93 70 93 / 20 20 10 10 5
Denton, Texas 97 73 95 74 96 / 20 20 10 10 5
McKinney, Texas 95 74 93 74 94 / 20 20 10 10 5
Dallas, Texas 96 75 96 75 95 / 20 20 10 10 5
Terrell, Texas 94 73 94 72 94 / 20 20 10 10 5
Corsicana, Texas 94 72 94 72 94 / 20 20 10 10 5
Temple, Texas 93 72 94 72 95 / 20 20 10 5 5
Mineral Wells, Texas 96 71 95 72 96 / 20 20 10 5 5

&&

Forward watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

79/81

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