Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
304 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
NOT MANY SENSIBLE WEATHER CHANGES ARE EXPECTED FOR NORTH TEXAS OVER
THE NEXT WEEK. THE AREA CURRENTLY REMAINS ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...WHICH LEADS TO WARM TEMPERATURES AND
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. HOWEVER...A WEAK COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED
TO TRAVERSE THE PLAINS AND APPROACH NORTH TEXAS TODAY BUT WILL
LIKELY STALL ACROSS OKLAHOMA. SHOWERS AND STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS FEATURE WILL MOSTLY REMAIN NORTH OF OUR AREA AS WELL...BUT
SOME ACTIVITY MAY SLIDE INTO THE NORTH TEXAS COUNTIES THAT ARE
NEAR THE RED RIVER OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

ANOTHER FEATURE THAT COULD POSSIBLY AFFECT PART OF OUR AREA DURING THE
NEXT WEEK WILL BE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT IS PROGGED TO
DEVELOP OFF OF THE LA/MS COAST TODAY AND SLOWLY MEANDER
NORTHWARD. MODEL GUIDANCE IS STILL NOT CONSISTENT WITH THE
HANDLING OF THIS FEATURE...BUT IT IS POSSIBLE IT COULD HELP
PROVIDE SOME RAIN FOR OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES NEXT WEEK.

FOR THE MOST PART...EXPECT A RELATIVELY DRY FORECAST FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA OVER THE NEXT WEEK. AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB
INTO THE 90S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS DROPPING INTO THE 70S...NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE AUGUST/EARLY SEPTEMBER.

AJS

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1156 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/
/6Z TAFS/

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WINDS. A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE
TOMORROW WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE. MOST OF
THESE ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL NORTHWEST OF THE MAJOR AIRPORTS.
THE LATEST HIGH RES TTU WRF DOES BRING SOME SHOWERS THROUGH THE
AREA LATE TOMORROW NIGHT BUT AT THIS TIME WILL LEAVE THE MENTION
OF PRECIP OUT OF THE LATEST TAF AND WATCH THE PROGRESSION OF THIS
FRONT THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW.

DUNN


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  97  77  94  76  95 /   5  10  10  10   5 
WACO, TX              97  74  95  73  95 /   0  10   5   5  10 
PARIS, TX             91  71  91  70  93 /   0  20  10  10   5 
DENTON, TX            96  74  94  73  95 /   5  20  10  10   5 
MCKINNEY, TX          93  74  93  73  94 /   5  10  10  10   5 
DALLAS, TX            97  77  94  77  95 /   5  10  10  10   5 
TERRELL, TX           94  73  93  72  94 /   0  10  10  10   5 
CORSICANA, TX         95  73  94  73  95 /   0  10  10  10  10 
TEMPLE, TX            97  72  94  71  94 /   0   5   5   5  10 
MINERAL WELLS, TX     97  73  96  71  96 /   5  10  10  10   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations