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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas
533 am CST Friday Jan 30 2015

Aviation...
aviation weather concerns are not expected across North Texas
through sunrise Saturday with broken to overcast middle and high
clouds. Ceilings will begin to lower toward sunrise Saturday as
light precipitation falling from the middle level clouds evaporates.
Precipitation will begin reaching the ground west of all North
Texas taf sites around sunrise Saturday but should not reach any
of the terminals until around late morning Saturday.

A northeast wind this morning will turn more easterly by midday
and southeast by sunrise Saturday as surface high pressure builds
east and a Lee trough develops across the Central High plains.
Wind speeds through Saturday morning will be below 12 knots.

79

&&



Previous discussion... /issued 244 am CST Friday Jan 30 2015/
few changes to this forecast. I did slow down the start of the
precipitation based on a slower trend in the models. It will take a bit
of time for elevated precipitation to evaporate and moisten the lower
levels before measurable precipitation can start. There may be a
few sprinkles before midnight Friday...but only the few that can
hit the surface before completely evaporating. Areal averaged
storm total rainfall may range from about a third to a half an
inch by Sunday evening when precipitation has ended.

Another cold front will push across the area Sunday
afternoon...drying the atmosphere and shutting off the rain. On
Monday morning...when clearing and a colder air mass are in
place...lows should drop below freezing north of a line from
Lampasas to Palestine.

Cooler weather will continue into the work week...with highs in
the 50s and lows in the 30s. The upper low currently off Southern
California will drop south and push across northern Mexico and
coastal Texas...keeping most of the rain well south of our southern
counties. We do have some low probability of precipitation in the south and southeast for
Tuesday and Wednesday...but that is based on potential wobble in
the low/S path. 84

&&




Preliminary point temps/pops...
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 54 42 52 47 53 / 5 10 60 90 50
Waco, Texas 57 42 54 50 57 / 10 10 60 70 60
Paris, Texas 54 38 51 43 52 / 5 10 40 90 60
Denton, Texas 55 41 49 44 52 / 5 10 70 90 50
McKinney, Texas 54 39 51 45 53 / 5 10 60 90 50
Dallas, Texas 56 42 52 47 54 / 5 10 60 90 50
Terrell, Texas 55 40 54 48 56 / 5 10 50 80 60
Corsicana, Texas 56 41 55 50 59 / 5 10 50 70 60
Temple, Texas 56 42 55 51 59 / 10 10 60 70 60
Mineral Wells, Texas 54 41 49 45 51 / 10 20 90 80 40

&&

Forward watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

79/84

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