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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Flagstaff Arizona
510 am MST Friday Nov 27 2015 area of low pressure near San Diego this morning will
affect portions of Arizona later today. This will bring a chance of
rain and snow showers from Flagstaff westward by this afternoon and
evening. Otherwise...expect breezy and cool conditions. Low pressure
will persist over the Great Basin through the weekend...resulting in
mainly dry...but continued breezy and cool weather into early next


Discussion...a shortwave near San Diego will rotate into western Arizona
today. Enough moisture...including some marine layer moisture...will
accompany hght falls this afternoon and will lead to scattered rain
and snow showers later today. We raised probability of precipitation Flagstaff northward to
the Kaibab Plateau...areas east of Flagstaff will remain in a dry
slot that is now slowly pushing east.

The upper low over the Great Basin will have at least two more S/waves
move through the low position over the weekend. This will prolong
our breezy and cold period through Sunday or Monday. Precipitation
chances will fade after this evening as the low moves slightly north
and east...placing Arizona back into a fairly dry and stable airmass.

Ridging builds for the remainder of next week...expect a warming
trend and continued dry conditions as a result.


Aviation...for the 12z package...a low pressure cell located over
the Great Basin will cause chances for rain showers/shsn over higher terrain
from kflg northwestward after 15z Friday. This may result in periods of
MVFR ceilings at kgcn and kflg through about 03z Sat. VFR conditions
are expected elsewhere. Aviation discussion not updated for taf


Fgz watches/warnings/advisories...none.




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