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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
947 PM CDT Tuesday Sep 16 2014

Update...
issued at 946 PM CDT Tuesday Sep 16 2014

Minor adjustments to cloud and temperature trends otherwise no
changes.

Update issued at 631 PM CDT Tuesday Sep 16 2014

Although several weak boundaries currently affecting the forecast area only
result will be some scattered locally broken cloud cover. Favored areas
for cloud cover will be along the Minnesota/Canadian border area in the vicinity
of weak surface low and cool front. Another small patch of clouds
over the ND/SD/MN border again near a weak boundary. This covered
well so no update necessary.

&&

Short term...(this evening through Wednesday night)
issued at 326 PM CDT Tuesday Sep 16 2014

Quiet weather pattern. One short wave seen moving into the Lake
of The Woods region at this time will continue to move southeast. Spotty
light showers on Canadian radars in eastern Manitoba and northwest
Ontario and still could be a few very light showers/sprinkles in
Lake of The Woods region overnight as systems moves southeast.

Band of middle level moisture has remained in place and is prognosticated to
continue to slide southeast overnight...though NAM in particular
does seem better with idea of the back door cool front slipping
south and southwest into NE ND/northwest Minnesota overnight into Wednesday.
Narrow ribbon of middle level moisture with that may mean a narrow
cloud band for a time Wednesday. Temperatures a bit cooler...about 3-5
degrees cooler.

Clear Wednesday night.

Long term...(thursday through tuesday)
issued at 326 PM CDT Tuesday Sep 16 2014

Southerly flow strengthens Thursday into Thursday night ahead of
next upper level short wave which will move quickly east along
the US/Canadian border. Moisture is sparse...but just enough low
level/middle level moisture and increasing instability to produce a
few showers/thunderstorms Thursday night into Friday.

For Friday night through Tuesday...low pressure over northwest Minnesota and southeast
mb will move into the northern Great Lakes and southern Ontario region this
weekend...with rain showers over northwest Minnesota gradually diminishing
throughout the weekend. An upper ridge then develops over the
northern/Canadian rockies and will bring dry weather to at least the
first half of next week. Daytime highs next weak will be slightly
warmer than the weekend as skies clear and solar increases.

&&

Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Wednesday evening)
issued at 631 PM CDT Tuesday Sep 16 2014

VFR with only pockets of scattered-broken middle level clouds. Winds light
tonight becoming northerly from north-S overnight.



&&

Fgf watches/warnings/advisories...
ND...none.
Minnesota...none.
&&

$$

Update...voelker
short term...Riddle
long term...Riddle
aviation...voelker

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