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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
927 PM CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

issued at 927 PM CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

The cumulus has dissipated as expected...and winds are light and
variable. Min temperatures will be the main update concern...and current
forecast should be in the ballpark (considering current dew point


Short term...(this evening through Tuesday night)
issued at 245 PM CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

Forecast challenge concerns mainly temperatures. Models in good
agreement with no real model preferences.

Into midweek region will remain in middle level northwest flow aloft
with surface high pressure in place. No real thermal/moisture profile
changes so expect temperatures to continue a bit below seasonal
averages. With sky clear...relatively cool column and dewpoints in 50s
nights will be comfortable. Enough moisture in the 800-700 mb
layer for scattered-broken afternoon cumulus development tomorrow.

Long term...(wednesday through monday)
issued at 245 PM CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

Column warms slightly Wednesday which should get temperatures
back up close to average.

Weak shortwave rotating around Hudson Bay low Thursday may bring a
chance for convection to the far NE forecast area so maintained low probability of precipitation.
Remainder of the forecast area will see persistent conditions with plenty of
solar and seasonal temperatures.

For Thursday night through Monday look for the stagnant western ridge
and eastern trough pattern to remain in place although the ridge
will try to inch a bit eastward. This will continue to keep
predominantly dry weather over the forecast area. Only exception may be for
Saturday into Sunday as a weak frontal boundary tries to sag into
the north. Will keep some low precipitation chances for this feature. Temperatures
should stay pretty close to normal.


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Tuesday evening)
issued at 605 PM CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

High pressure will lead to clear sky and light winds overnight.
Scattered VFR cumulus expected again on Tuesday.


Fgf watches/warnings/advisories...

short term...voelker
long term...godon/voelker

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