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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
619 PM CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015

issued at 619 PM CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015

Wind speeds should continue to decrease this evening and turn a
little more westward. Only expect a little bit of middle or high
cloud cover overnight.


Short term...(this evening through Wednesday night)
issued at 250 PM CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015

Impacts and challenges during this period will be minimal.
Models in good agreement depicting northwest flow aloft with
periodic shortwaves. Much like last night...these shortwaves may
produce clouds but airmass is dry and do not expect precipitation.
Airmass undergoes little change and expect maximum temperatures near 60f with
min temperatures near 40f (or middle-upper 30s in some areas).

Long term...(thursday through tuesday)
issued at 250 PM CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015

Thursday-Friday...northwest flow aloft continues with a stronger
wave possible on Thursday that could bring very light showers to
the Baudette area...followed by high pressure on Friday. A much
cooler airmass Friday and Friday night will lead to below freezing
temperatures during the overnight hours (low to upper 20s).

Saturday-Tuesday...mainly dry extended period with surface
high pressure prevailing along with northwest flow. A cold frosty
Friday night will be followed by return flow Saturday as high drifts
toward Wisconsin. Temperatures will recover only into 50s after the chilly
start...with moderation for Sunday and Monday. Potentially potent
cold front and low to follow later Monday into Tuesday...offering
better precipitation chances along with stronger northwest winds and cooler temperatures.
The European model (ecmwf) is slower and more intense with this system featuring
antecedent southwest flow and sharper middle level trough.


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Wednesday evening)
issued at 619 PM CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015

Winds already dropping quickly and should drop below 10 knots by
early evening. Looking at northwest winds again on Wednesday but a
little more gusty by late morning into the afternoon. Only expect
a little middle or high level cloudiness.


Fgf watches/warnings/advisories...


long term...wjb/tg

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