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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
249 PM CST Tuesday Dec 1 2015

Short term...(this evening through Wednesday night)
issued at 249 PM CST Tuesday Dec 1 2015

Main forecast challenges will be how soon the snow ends tonight
and then the degree and speed of clearing. After that the Snow
Field will dominate the warm/cold and any fog
formation. As for now...there are still small bands of snow
rotating back into the area from the Minnesota arrowhead. Web cams
show some larger flakes at times but the bands seem very thin and
not long lasting. Surface temperatures are also right around 32-34f in this these are wet flakes that compact once they hit the
ground. Most visibilities are also in the 3 to 6 mile outside
of these thin/short duration snow bands conditions are not all
that bad. For this reason and after coordinating with adjacent
offices will go ahead and cancel the Winter Weather Advisory.
ND/Minnesota Road conditions still show poor driving conditions in some if planning travel check these web maps or dial 511.

These thin snow bands will probably last into the evening across
the southern half of the forecast area...and longest from kpkd to kffm.
Expect it to end by late night. Already seeing clearing working
into the northwest forecast area. This should slowly continue to occur from
northwest to southeast tonight. Winds look to stay up in the 5 to 15 miles per hour range
overnight...and have not seen a ton of melting will not
mention any fog at this point. Conditions would argue that fog is
definitely will just have to monitor through the
evening. Otherwise if no fog...expect lots of sun on Wednesday with
highs dependent on snow. Therefore should be warmest in the far

Long term...(thursday through tuesday)
issued at 249 PM CST Tuesday Dec 1 2015

Not a lot of change in the overall pattern for Thursday into Friday. 850mb
temperatures look mild but all depends on the Snow Field. Like a Spring
snowmelt...fog could play havoc with clouds/temps. At this point
expect a good amount of sun which would start the snow melting
and in turn keep a possibility of fog. Generally kept temperatures in
the low to middle 30s for highs where there is snow and a little
warmer in the far north/NW.

For Friday night through Tuesday...overall looking at a dry and
mild period for the region. Broad middle level trough will cross the
forecast area this weekend however airmass very dry so no precipitation expected. In
spite of recent snow temperatures should still be able to recover
into the 30s with warmest values over areas with least amount of
snow cover.


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Wednesday afternoon)
issued at 1235 PM CST Tuesday Dec 1 2015

Ceilings and visibility will be a major challenge with existing bands of -sn
which drop ceilings and visibility otherwise visibility good mainly valley east.
Made best attempt to reflect conditions through the afternoon as
snow bands shift south and east. Improving conditions tonight with
clearing from northwest to southeast. Most areas will be VFR by morning.


Fgf watches/warnings/advisories...
ND...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight CST tonight for ndz053.

Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM CST this afternoon for ndz024-

Minnesota...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight CST tonight for mnz017-

Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM CST this afternoon for



Short term...godon
long term...godon/voelker

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