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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
702 am CDT Friday may 29 2015

issued at 701 am CDT Friday may 29 2015

Radar continues to show precipitation slowly moving out of the area. The
trailing edge of the precipitation extends from Kelliher Minnesota to Englevale
ND. Precipitation was moving to the southeast about 8 knots. No changes to
the current package.


Short term...(today through saturday)
issued at 358 am CDT Friday may 29 2015

Water vapor loop indicated an upper level trough over man and will
move to the eastern Canadian coast by sun. Reinforcing trough over
Saskatchewan/man Sat will move into Ontario by sun. Then more zonal flow
across southern Canada for Sun night. Significantly cooler air will
move into the area this morning with first short wave.
High temperatures today will generally be in the fifties. Precipitable
water was around 1.4 inches in the southeast zones will shift south
and east today. Most place will have precipitable water under a
quarter of an inch by Sat morning.

Rain continues to fall over the south and east zones. Areal coverage
was decreasing. Flood warnings/advisories continue for some of the
southern zones this morning. Frontal boundary extends from bde to
Oakes ND. Frontal boundary was slowly moving southeast under 10

Long term...(saturday night through thursday)
issued at 358 am CDT Friday may 29 2015

(monday-thursday)...models remain in decent agreement
which means little change to previous thinking. Upper ridging will
over the region will gradually propagate eastward...placing this
area in SW flow aloft by Wed-thur. Cannot rule out precipitation at any
time given numerous upper waves either rounding the ridge early in
the period...or ejecting from the western coast trough later in the
period. The potential for severe thunderstorm activity (wed-thur)
will be the main hazard this period...although details very
uncertain. Temperatures will be near normal values.


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Saturday morning)
issued at 701 am CDT Friday may 29 2015

IFR conditions were located over much of northwest Minnesota. The rest of
the forecast area had MVFR conditions with ceilings mostly around 15
hundred feet. Expect IFR ceilings to move southeast out of the area this
morning. MVFR ceilings are also expected to move southeast out of the
area this afternoon. Expect ceilings to clear late afternoon or early
evening and rise during the afternoon.


Fgf watches/warnings/advisories...


short term...hoppes

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