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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
701 am CDT Thursday Jul 30 2015

issued at 700 am CDT Thursday Jul 30 2015

Few showers have moved into Benson, Ramsey and Towner counties. Most
of the precipitation was not likely reaching the ground. Otherwise no
change to current forecast.


Short term...(today through friday)
issued at 356 am CDT Thursday Jul 30 2015

Low amplitude upper level ridge/trough over western North
America/eastern Canada respectively slowly amplifies through 84
hours. Northwest-southeast orientated upper level jet remains over
the northeast zones through the period with short waves/jet streaks
moving through the flow.

Water vapor loop indicated a short wave/jet streak was located over
southeast Saskatchewan and was moving east/southeast about 30 knots.
Associated cold pocket aloft will move over the northeast zones this
morning and allows the showalters to become negative. Two areas of
light precipitation expected over the northeast zones with cold air aloft
and short wave over central parts of the forecast area. Will add low
probability of precipitation for today.

Pockets of higher precipitable water moves through the
being over the northeast zones this morning...another over the area
Sat in the southern Red River valley and another over the northeast
zones Sat night.

Long term...(friday night through wednesday)
issued at 356 am CDT Thursday Jul 30 2015

For Sunday through Thursday...area to start out with northwest flow
aloft and then begin to transition to a more westerly flow aloft. A
cold front will drop south through the area Sunday followed by high
pressure for Monday and Tuesday. Kept idea of slight chance for
precipitation Sunday with front...but moisture is pretty weak...then dry
Monday-Tuesday with temperatures a few degrees below early August normals. Middle
week shows a chance for T-storms as a short wave moves east into
the northern plains. Overall though best moisture stays west and south
of our area so not looking at much of a chance.


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Friday morning)
issued at 700 am CDT Thursday Jul 30 2015

VFR conditions were across the area. Satellite and surface observation
indicated ceilings were over the northern fourth of the the area. Ceilings
were generally above 10 thousand feet. Do not expect ceilings much below 8
thousand feet this morning or through the next 24 hours. VFR conditions
forecast through 24 hours.


Fgf watches/warnings/advisories...


short term...hoppes
long term...Riddle

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