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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Peachtree City Georgia
437 am EDT Thursday may 7 2015

Short term /today through Friday/...
mostly dry weather pattern will continue. Short term models are in
good agreement through the period...including the handling of the
system just offshore the Carolina coast. GFS...as usual...is
showing some effects of convective feedback...with little impacts
over our forecast area. North and central Georgia remains under the
influence of weak upper level ridging and surface high pressure.
Have continued slight chance probability of precipitation over the NE Georgia Mountain both this
afternoon and again Friday afternoon as orographic lift may allow an
isolated shower or thunderstorm to develop. Guidance temperatures
continue to perform well and are in good agreement so I see no
reason to stray.

Atwell



Long term /Friday night through Wednesday/...
models in good agreement through the weekend with the coastal low
but then differences develop next week. The coastal low will be
nearly stationary off the NC/SC border but as the upper ridge
shifts east and a southwest flow develops...the coastal low will
more out to sea. With downslope flow over the County Warning Area...expect dry
conditions through Saturday night. As the southwest flow develops
over the County Warning Area...weak short waves will move through the flow
bringing in slight chance to low chance probability of precipitation beginning Sunday and
continuing through the rest of the long term.

17



&&

Aviation...
06z update... VFR conditions with few050 expected this afternoon.
Winds continue out of the east to northeast at generally 5kts or
less.

//Atl confidence...06z update...
high confidence all elements

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Athens 84 62 86 62 / 0 0 10 5
Atlanta 84 64 85 65 / 5 0 5 5
Blairsville 79 56 80 58 / 20 5 20 5
Cartersville 85 59 85 59 / 5 0 5 5
Columbus 86 62 88 64 / 0 0 0 5
Gainesville 83 62 83 62 / 5 0 10 5
Macon 86 59 87 62 / 0 0 5 5
Rome 86 59 87 58 / 5 0 0 5
Peachtree City 85 59 86 59 / 5 0 5 5
Vidalia 84 63 86 65 / 10 0 5 5

&&

Ffc watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Short term...Atwell
long term....17
aviation...Atwell

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