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Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Peachtree City Georgia
1041 PM EDT Tuesday Jul 7 2015



Update...
little change to the forecast this evening as storms have
diminished across the County Warning Area. Although there is convective activity
north of the area across Tennessee...this should remain to the north and
thus have kept any mention of showers and thunderstorms overnight
out of the forecast.

&&




Previous discussion...

Short term /tonight through Wednesday night/...
/issued 329 PM EDT Tuesday Jul 7 2015/
relatively quiet short term period on tap. Models consistent with
keeping frontal boundary at Bay as high pressure dominates the
region. Boundary looks to skirt the County Warning Area to the north and remain
across the Tennessee and Ohio valleys through the short term period.
Enough moisture present across the state will allow for isolated
shower and thunderstorm activity each afternoon and evening through
Thursday. Overall warming trend expected with high temperatures
warming into the low to middle 90s across the state by Wednesday
afternoon.

31

Long term /Thursday through Tuesday/...
/issued 329 PM EDT Tuesday Jul 7 2015/
ridge will build aloft through the end of the week...but begin to
shift westward by the end of the week. Northwest flow aloft is expected
early next week as a trough digs down the East Coast as the center
of the high pressure moves across West Texas.

Maximum temperatures are going to keep creeping upwards into the 90s for
most locales through the weekend. Only the higher elevations may
have a break from the 90s...with high temperatures expected in the middle
and upper 80s.

No real strong or well defined surface features to focus convection
through the weekend...so probability of precipitation should remain low end chance/slight
chance. Probability of precipitation may begin to increase by the first part of next week as
a frontal boundary slowly approaches from the north and shortwaves
energy drops south in the northwest flow.

No major changes to the long term portion of the forecast.

Nlistemaa

Aviation...
00z update...
/issued 738 PM EDT Tuesday Jul 7 2015/
VFR conditions forecast through the taf period. Winds remain on
the west side but will be light overnight. Some models are
pointing at fog development overnight in the ahn to pdk area but
confidence is low at this point.

//Atl confidence...00z update...
high on all elements.

11

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Athens 72 94 72 95 / 5 20 20 20
Atlanta 74 93 74 93 / 5 20 10 20
Blairsville 66 87 66 88 / 10 20 20 20
Cartersville 70 93 70 93 / 5 20 10 20
Columbus 73 95 73 95 / 5 20 20 20
Gainesville 72 91 72 91 / 5 20 20 20
Macon 72 95 72 96 / 5 20 20 20
Rome 71 93 70 94 / 5 20 10 20
Peachtree City 71 93 71 94 / 5 20 10 20
Vidalia 73 94 73 95 / 10 20 20 30

&&

Ffc watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Short term...11
long term....17
aviation...11

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